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Middlesbrough vs Chelsea

Riverside, Middlesbrough20 November 2016 at 16:00
Referee: Jonathan Moss

Match Events

Middlesbrough
Chelsea
Kick Off
Adam Clayton8′
Half Time
FábioS. Downing
71′
73′N'Golo Kanté
A. ClaytonV. Fischer
73′
Calum Chambers74′
80′
PedroN. Chalobah
A. ForshawG. Leadbitter
89′
90′
V. MosesB. Ivanović
90+2′
E. HazardOscar
Full Time

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
12Total Shots13
4Blocked Shots4
6Shots insidebox10
6Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls10
2Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
42%Ball Possession58%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
451Total passes620
365Passes accurate527
81%Passes %85%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Middlesbrough deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Chelsea's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Middlesbrough field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Chelsea's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Middlesbrough start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Chelsea averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Middlesbrough4-5-13-4-3Chelsea
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Valdés17Barragán2Fábio6Gibson25Chambers8Clayton21Ramírez34Forshaw14Roon37Traoré10Negredo13Courtois24Cahill30Luiz28Azpilic.3Alonso15Moses21Matić10Hazard11Pedro7Kanté19Costa

Substitutes

Coach: Karanka

Substitutes

Coach: A. Conte

MiddlesbroughPosition StrengthChelsea
Middlesbrough4-5-1
26GoalkeeperVíctor Valdés
17DefenderBarragán
2DefenderFábio
6DefenderB. Gibson
25DefenderC. Chambers
8MidfielderA. Clayton
21MidfielderG. Ramírez
34MidfielderA. Forshaw
14MidfielderM. de Roon
37MidfielderAdama Traoré
10ForwardÁlvaro Negredo
Chelsea3-4-3
13GoalkeeperT. Courtois
24DefenderG. Cahill
30DefenderDavid Luiz
28DefenderAzpilicueta
3MidfielderMarcos Alonso
15MidfielderV. Moses
21MidfielderN. Matić
7MidfielderN. Kanté
10ForwardE. Hazard
11ForwardPedro
19ForwardDiego Costa

Match Summary

Chelsea defeated Middlesbrough 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by Diego Costa 41′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Middlesbrough had 42% possession while Chelsea held 58%. Middlesbrough had 12 shots (1 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Chelsea. Middlesbrough made 3 substitutions, Chelsea made 3.

Rivalry since 2013

Middlesbrough vs Chelsea Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Middlesbrough
1
wins
Drawn
0
Chelsea
4
wins
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
1/5 · 20%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Form

Middlesbrough

DWWDLD

Chelsea

DLWLLL

Match Prediction

Middlesbrough

0%

Home win

 

50%

Draw

Chelsea

50%

Away win

Model advice

Winner : Chelsea

29%Form71%
20%Attack80%
0%Defence100%
0%Head-to-head100%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Chelsea dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough2wins
2draws10 meetings
Chelsea6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

10%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (14%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 14.8%Draw 24.4%Away 63.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min6.504.001.56
Max7.004.281.57
Market favourite:Chelsea · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market14.3%22.9%62.8%
Public market13.9%24.3%61.9%
Δ0.5%1.4%0.9%

Middlesbrough vs Chelsea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Chelsea
Result vs. Market: Chelsea (64%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:01Chelsea
12Shots13
1Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/11/16Middlesbrough0–1Chelsea6.78/4.09/1.57
08/05/17Chelsea3–0Middlesbrough1.16/8.60/18.74
22/04/00Chelsea1–1Middlesbrough
25/09/99Middlesbrough0–1Chelsea
14/04/99Middlesbrough0–0Chelsea
26/09/98Chelsea2–0Middlesbrough
22/03/97Middlesbrough1–0Chelsea
21/08/96Chelsea1–0Middlesbrough
04/02/96Chelsea5–0Middlesbrough
26/08/95Middlesbrough2–0Chelsea

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 154D 158L 220
Over 2.544
Goals scored594

Away Record: Chelsea

W 666D 308L 285
Over 2.551
Goals scored2155

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026