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Bournemouth vs Watford

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth21 January 2017 at 15:00
22
Referee: Lee Mason

Match Events

Bournemouth
Watford
Kick Off
24′
C. Kabasele

assist: M. Britos

Half Time
J. King

assist: A. Smith

48′
62′
S. OkakaD. Janmaat
64′
T. Deeney

assist: T. Cleverley

70′José Holebas
J. StanislasB. Afobe
74′
J. KingJ. Ibe
74′
79′Younès Kaboul
R. FraserM. Pugh
81′
B. Afobe

assist: A. Surman

82′
85′
C. KabaseleC. Cathcart
88′
A. DoucouréO. Ighalo
Steve Cook90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots5
10Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox7
6Fouls16
9Corner Kicks4
3Offsides2
62%Ball Possession38%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
526Total passes319
415Passes accurate200
79%Passes %63%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Bournemouth is 6.48, compared to — for Watford. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Bournemouth's highest-rated starter is A. Smith (6.48), while Watford's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Bournemouth deploy 4 defenders rated 6.48 on average, against Watford's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Bournemouth field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Watford's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Bournemouth start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Watford averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 76% for Bournemouth and —% for Watford. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Bournemouth's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Watford. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Bournemouth's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: A. Smith (34), oldest: A. Smith (34)), while Watford average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Bournemouth's starters average 20 league appearances each, versus 0 for Watford. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Bournemouth4-2-3-13-4-1-2Watford
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Boruc11Daniels15Smith3Cook26Mings6Surman32Wilshere19Stanisl.24Fraser13Wilson17King1Gomes4Kaboul5Prödl25Holebas3Britos27Kabasele29Capoue8Cleverl.16Doucouré33Okaka9Deeney

Substitutes

Coach: E. Howe

Substitutes

Coach: W. Mazzarri

BournemouthPosition StrengthWatford
6.48
Avg Rating
6.48Defender (4 v 3)
0G 2A0G 0A
Bournemouth4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperA. Boruc
11DefenderC. Daniels
15DefenderA. Smith6.52A
3DefenderS. Cook
26DefenderT. Mings
6MidfielderA. Surman
32MidfielderJ. Wilshere
19MidfielderJ. Stanislas
24MidfielderR. Fraser
17MidfielderJ. King
13ForwardC. Wilson
Watford3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperGomes
4DefenderY. Kaboul
5DefenderS. Prödl
3DefenderM. Britos
25MidfielderJ. Holebas
27MidfielderC. Kabasele
29MidfielderE. Capoue
16MidfielderA. Doucouré
8ForwardT. Cleverley
33ForwardS. Okaka
9ForwardT. Deeney

Match Summary

Bournemouth and Watford drew 2:2. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by C. Kabasele 24′, J. King 48′, T. Deeney 64′, B. Afobe 82′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Bournemouth had 62% possession while Watford held 38%. Bournemouth had 15 shots (5 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Watford. Bournemouth made 3 substitutions, Watford made 3.

Rivalry since 2013

Bournemouth vs Watford Head to Head Results

16 stretnutí
Bournemouth
3
wins
Drawn
9
Watford
4
wins
Total goals
43 · 2.7/match
Both scored
8/16 · 50%
Over 2.5
6/16 · 38%

Recent Form

Bournemouth

WWDWWD

Watford

LLLLLD

Match Prediction

Bournemouth

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Watford

10%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Bournemouth or draw

67%Form33%
80%Attack20%
40%Defence60%
64%Head-to-head36%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bournemouth1wins
7draws10 meetings
Watford2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Market Summary

Margin: 2.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.3%Draw 27.0%Away 21.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.833.604.50
Max1.853.774.75
Market favourite:Bournemouth · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.3%26.0%20.7%
Public market53.4%26.1%20.6%

Bournemouth vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Bournemouth (54%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BournemouthHalf-time:01Watford
15Shots10
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/01/20Bournemouth0–3Watford2.63/3.32/2.73
26/10/19Watford0–0Bournemouth2.17/3.54/3.33
02/01/19Bournemouth3–3Watford2.59/3.51/2.77
06/10/18Watford0–4Bournemouth2.15/3.56/3.46
31/03/18Watford2–2Bournemouth2.31/3.39/3.12
19/08/17Bournemouth0–2Watford1.98/3.54/4.05
01/10/16Watford2–2Bournemouth2.40/3.27/3.26
21/01/17Bournemouth2–2Watford1.84/3.71/4.66
27/02/16Watford0–0Bournemouth2.40/3.27/3.07
03/10/15Bournemouth1–1Watford2.13/3.35/3.76

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bournemouth

W 107D 85L 147
Over 2.560
Goals scored445

Away Record: Watford

W 73D 66L 165
Over 2.553
Goals scored310

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026