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Arsenal vs Burnley

Emirates Stadium, London22 January 2017 at 14:15
21
Referee: Jonathan Moss

Match Events

Arsenal
Burnley
Kick Off
Half Time
58′Matthew Lowton
S. Mustafi

assist: M. Özil

59′
Granit Xhaka65′
A. IwobiF. Coquelin
69′
73′
J. HendrickJ. Barton
74′Dean Marney
76′
D. MarneyJ. Tarkowski
77′
S. DefourS. Vokes
O. GiroudD. Welbeck
87′
M. ÖzilBellerín
89′
Shkodran Mustafi90′
90′Ashley Barnes
90+3′
A. Gray

Penalty

A. Sánchez

Penalty

90+8′
Full Time

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal3
24Total Shots13
9Blocked Shots3
15Shots insidebox7
9Shots outsidebox6
12Fouls11
10Corner Kicks4
2Offsides0
69%Ball Possession31%
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves6
578Total passes237
502Passes accurate158
87%Passes %67%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Arsenal is —, compared to 6.35 for Burnley. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Arsenal's highest-rated starter is —, while Burnley's best-rated player is A. Barnes (6.35).

Defensive Solidity

Arsenal deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Burnley's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Arsenal field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Burnley's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Arsenal start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Burnley averaging 6.35. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Discipline

Arsenal's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Burnley. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Arsenal's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Burnley average 36.0 (youngest: A. Barnes (36), oldest: A. Barnes (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Arsenal's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 6 for Burnley. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Arsenal4-2-3-14-4-2Burnley
GKDEFMIDFWD
33Čech18Monreal6Kosciel.20Mustafi5Paulista11Özil8Ramsey29Xhaka7Sánchez12Giroud17Iwobi1Heaton23Ward2Lowton6Mee5Keane16Defour8Marney21Boyd13Hendrick10Barnes7Gray

Substitutes

Coach: A. Wenger

Substitutes

Coach: S. Dyche

ArsenalPosition StrengthBurnley
Avg Rating
6.35
Forward (1 v 2)6.35
0G 0A0G 0A
Arsenal4-2-3-1
33GoalkeeperP. Čech
18DefenderNacho Monreal
6DefenderL. Koscielny
20DefenderS. Mustafi
5DefenderGabriel Paulista
11MidfielderM. Özil
8MidfielderA. Ramsey
29MidfielderG. Xhaka
7MidfielderA. Sánchez
17MidfielderA. Iwobi
12ForwardO. Giroud
Burnley4-4-2
1GoalkeeperT. Heaton
23DefenderS. Ward
2DefenderM. Lowton
6DefenderB. Mee
5DefenderM. Keane
16MidfielderS. Defour
8MidfielderD. Marney
21MidfielderG. Boyd
13MidfielderJ. Hendrick
10ForwardA. Barnes6.3
7ForwardA. Gray

Match Summary

Arsenal defeated Burnley 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by S. Mustafi 59′, A. Gray 90′ (pen.), A. Sánchez 90′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Arsenal had 69% possession while Burnley held 31%. Arsenal had 24 shots (8 on target) compared to 13 (7 on target) for Burnley. Arsenal made 3 substitutions, Burnley made 3.

Rivalry since 2014

Arsenal vs Burnley Head to Head Results

17 stretnutí
Arsenal
13
wins
Drawn
3
Burnley
1
wins
Total goals
40 · 2.4/match
Both scored
6/17 · 35%
Over 2.5
8/17 · 47%

Recent Form

Arsenal

WWWDWL

Burnley

DLLLLL

Match Prediction

Arsenal

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Burnley

10%

Away win

Model advice

Winner : Arsenal

53%Form47%
58%Attack42%
50%Defence50%
100%Head-to-head0%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Arsenal dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Arsenal6wins
3draws10 meetings
Burnley1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (80%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 2.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 82.9%Draw 13.7%Away 6.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.207.0015.00
Max1.227.5017.00
Market favourite:Arsenal · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market80.4%13.3%6.2%
Public market81.3%13.0%5.7%

Arsenal vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Arsenal
Result vs. Market: Arsenal (83%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ArsenalHalf-time:00Burnley
24Shots13
8Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/11/25Burnley0–2Arsenal10.00/6.13/1.27
17/02/24Burnley0–5Arsenal9.93/5.66/1.30
11/11/23Arsenal3–1Burnley1.17/7.16/15.58
23/01/22Arsenal0–0Burnley1.36/4.82/9.39
18/09/21Burnley0–1Arsenal3.82/3.52/2.00
06/03/21Burnley1–1Arsenal5.58/3.94/1.64
13/12/20Arsenal0–1Burnley1.53/4.24/6.53
02/02/20Burnley0–0Arsenal3.72/3.57/2.01
17/08/19Arsenal2–1Burnley1.32/5.48/9.78
22/12/18Arsenal3–1Burnley1.23/6.30/14.99

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Arsenal

W 701D 305L 253
Over 2.554
Goals scored2292

Away Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored376

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026