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Watford vs Southampton

Vicarage Road, Watford4 March 2017 at 15:00
34
Referee: Jonathan Moss

Match Events

Watford
Southampton
Kick Off
T. Deeney
4′
28′
D. Tadić
33′Manolo Gabbiadini
Stefano Okaka44′
45+2′
N. Redmond

assist: D. Tadić

Half Time
E. CapoueI. Success
70′
Sebastian Prödl73′
78′
J. Ward-ProwseS. Boufal
S. Okaka

assist: I. Success

79′
Troy Deeney82′
83′
M. Gabbiadini
85′
M. GabbiadiniS. Long
86′
N. Redmond

assist: D. Tadić

87′
D. TadićJ. Clasie
S. OkakaA. Doucouré
89′
A. Doucouré

assist: M. Britos

90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal11
7Shots off Goal4
16Total Shots20
5Blocked Shots5
11Shots insidebox12
5Shots outsidebox8
16Fouls9
6Corner Kicks5
2Offsides2
37%Ball Possession63%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
7Goalkeeper Saves1
258Total passes446
156Passes accurate338
60%Passes %76%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Watford is —, compared to 6.87 for Southampton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Watford's highest-rated starter is —, while Southampton's best-rated player is J. Stephens (7.01).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Watford have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Southampton's starters account for 2 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by J. Stephens (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Watford deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Southampton's 4-man backline averaging 7.01. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Watford field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Southampton's 5 rated 6.72. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Watford start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Southampton averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Watford and 85% for Southampton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Watford's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Southampton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Watford's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Southampton average 32.5 (youngest: J. Stephens (31), oldest: Oriol Romeu (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Watford's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 19 for Southampton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Watford4-4-24-2-3-1Southampton
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Gomes4Kaboul5Prödl25Holebas3Britos11Behrami29Capoue8Cleverl.33Okaka9Deeney21Niang1Forster3Yoshida21Bertrand2Soares24Stephens8Davis11Tadić14Romeu22Redmond16Ward-Pr.20Gabbiad.

Substitutes

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Substitutes

Coach: C. Puel

WatfordPosition StrengthSouthampton
Avg Rating
6.87
Defender (4 v 4)7.01
0G 0A2G 0A
Midfielder (4 v 5)6.72
0G 0A0G 0A
Watford4-4-2
1GoalkeeperGomes
4DefenderY. Kaboul
5DefenderS. Prödl
25DefenderJ. Holebas
3DefenderM. Britos
11MidfielderV. Behrami
29MidfielderE. Capoue
8MidfielderT. Cleverley
21MidfielderM. Niang
33ForwardS. Okaka
9ForwardT. Deeney
Southampton4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperF. Forster
3DefenderM. Yoshida
21DefenderR. Bertrand
2DefenderCédric Soares
24DefenderJ. Stephens7.02G
8MidfielderS. Davis
11MidfielderD. Tadić
14MidfielderOriol Romeu6.7
22MidfielderN. Redmond
16MidfielderJ. Ward-Prowse
20ForwardM. Gabbiadini

Match Summary

Southampton defeated Watford 4:3. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by T. Deeney 4′, D. Tadić 28′, N. Redmond 45′, S. Okaka 79′, M. Gabbiadini 83′, N. Redmond 86′, A. Doucouré 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Watford had 37% possession while Southampton held 63%. Watford had 16 shots (4 on target) compared to 20 (11 on target) for Southampton. Watford made 2 substitutions, Southampton made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Watford vs Southampton Head to Head Results

21 stretnutí
Watford
2
wins
Drawn
9
Southampton
10
wins
Total goals
50 · 2.4/match
Both scored
11/21 · 52%
Over 2.5
9/21 · 43%

Recent Form

Watford

LLLLLD

Southampton

WDLDWW

Match Prediction

Watford

10%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Southampton

45%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : draw or Southampton

57%Form43%
44%Attack56%
46%Defence54%
15%Head-to-head85%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Watford2wins
4draws10 meetings
Southampton4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Southampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.2%Draw 30.4%Away 44.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.503.102.20
Max3.603.402.30
Market favourite:Southampton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.7%29.0%43.3%
Public market27.1%28.7%44.3%

Watford vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Southampton
Result vs. Market: Southampton (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:12Southampton
16Shots20
4Shots on target11

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
13/03/22Southampton1–2Watford1.60/4.14/5.52
30/10/21Watford0–1Southampton3.17/3.33/2.33
28/06/20Watford1–3Southampton2.49/3.33/2.91
30/11/19Southampton2–1Watford2.12/3.47/3.54
23/04/19Watford1–1Southampton2.26/3.46/3.32
10/11/18Southampton1–1Watford2.51/3.30/3.03
13/01/18Watford2–2Southampton2.50/3.37/3.00
09/09/17Southampton0–2Watford1.66/3.85/5.82
13/08/16Southampton1–1Watford1.84/3.61/4.71
04/03/17Watford3–4Southampton3.55/3.29/2.25

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 73D 66L 165
Over 2.553
Goals scored310

Away Record: Southampton

W 269D 243L 408
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026