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Chelsea vs Watford

Stamford Bridge, London21 October 2017 at 12:30
42
Referee: Jonathan Moss

Match Events

Chelsea
Watford
Kick Off
12′José Holebas
Pedro

assist: E. Hazard

12′
Antonio Rüdiger23′
45+2′
A. Doucouré
Half Time
49′
R. Pereyra

assist: Richarlison

Álvaro MorataM. Batshuayi
61′
65′
R. PereyraA. Carrillo
Marcos AlonsoWillian
68′
M. Batshuayi

assist: Pedro

71′
80′
T. DeeneyB. Watson
PedroD. Zappacosta
86′
90′
A. MariappaA. Gray
M. Batshuayi

assist: T. Bakayoko

90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
14Total Shots16
1Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox9
8Shots outsidebox7
13Fouls16
6Corner Kicks6
6Offsides3
52%Ball Possession48%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
462Total passes406
377Passes accurate324
82%Passes %80%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Chelsea deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Watford's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Chelsea field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Watford's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Chelsea start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Watford averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Chelsea3-4-33-4-3Watford
GKDEFMIDFWD
13Courtois24Cahill30Luiz28Azpilic.3Alonso2Rüdiger4Fàbregas10Hazard11Pedro14Bakayoko9Morata1Gomes6Mariappa25Holebas3Britos27Kabasele21Femenía8Cleverl.37Pereyra16Doucouré9Deeney11Richarl.

Substitutes

Coach: A. Conte

Substitutes

Coach: Marco Silva

ChelseaPosition StrengthWatford
Chelsea3-4-3
13GoalkeeperT. Courtois
24DefenderG. Cahill
30DefenderDavid Luiz
2DefenderA. Rüdiger
28MidfielderAzpilicueta
3MidfielderMarcos Alonso
4MidfielderFàbregas
14MidfielderT. Bakayoko
10ForwardE. Hazard
11ForwardPedro
9ForwardÁlvaro Morata
Watford3-4-3
1GoalkeeperGomes
6DefenderA. Mariappa
3DefenderM. Britos
27DefenderC. Kabasele
25MidfielderJ. Holebas
21MidfielderKiko Femenía
8MidfielderT. Cleverley
16MidfielderA. Doucouré
37ForwardR. Pereyra
9ForwardT. Deeney
11ForwardRicharlison

Match Summary

Chelsea defeated Watford 4:2. The match was played in Premier League 2017. Goals were scored by Pedro 12′, A. Doucouré 45′, R. Pereyra 49′, M. Batshuayi 71′, Azpilicueta 87′, M. Batshuayi 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Chelsea had 52% possession while Watford held 48%. Chelsea had 14 shots (8 on target) compared to 16 (5 on target) for Watford. Chelsea made 3 substitutions, Watford made 3.

Rivalry since 2015

Chelsea vs Watford Head to Head Results

12 stretnutí
Chelsea
9
wins
Drawn
2
Watford
1
wins
Total goals
40 · 3.3/match
Both scored
8/12 · 67%
Over 2.5
11/12 · 92%

Recent Form

Chelsea

DLWLLL

Watford

LLLLLD

Match Prediction

Chelsea

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Watford

10%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Chelsea or draw

41%Form59%
47%Attack53%
71%Defence29%
85%Head-to-head15%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Chelsea dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Chelsea9wins
0draws10 meetings
Watford1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.9

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (70%) — the odds may underestimate Chelsea.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 72.8%Draw 19.6%Away 10.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.365.008.95
Max1.405.2510.00
Market favourite:Chelsea · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market69.8%19.2%10.9%
Public market71.7%18.6%9.7%
Δ1.9%0.7%1.2%

Chelsea vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Chelsea
Result vs. Market: Chelsea (73%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ChelseaHalf-time:11Watford
14Shots16
8Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/05/22Chelsea2–1Watford1.16/7.62/17.59
01/12/21Watford1–2Chelsea10.44/5.29/1.31
04/07/20Chelsea3–0Watford1.40/4.65/8.56
02/11/19Watford1–2Chelsea5.04/4.25/1.64
05/05/19Chelsea3–0Watford1.39/5.06/8.36
26/12/18Watford1–2Chelsea5.04/3.82/1.75
05/02/18Watford4–1Chelsea6.13/4.02/1.62
21/10/17Chelsea4–2Watford1.37/5.11/9.32
20/08/16Watford1–2Chelsea5.48/3.61/1.74
15/05/17Chelsea4–3Watford1.25/6.53/12.50

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Chelsea

W 666D 308L 285
Over 2.551
Goals scored2155

Away Record: Watford

W 73D 66L 165
Over 2.553
Goals scored310

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026