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Burnley vs Crystal Palace

Turf Moor, Burnley2 March 2019 at 15:00
Referee: Lee Probert

Match Events

Burnley
Crystal Palace
Kick Off
15′
P. Bardsley

Own Goal

Ben Mee38′
Half Time
J. HendrickJ. Guðmunds­son
46′
48′
M. Batshuayi

assist: A. Wan-Bissaka

65′James Tomkins
69′Max Meyer
71′
M. MeyerJ. McArthur
D. McNeilR. Brady
72′
76′
W. Zaha

assist: C. Kouyaté

79′
W. ZahaA. Townsend
C. WoodP. Crouch
81′
83′
M. BatshuayiC. Benteke
A. Barnes

assist: A. Westwood

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal4
18Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox5
9Fouls9
8Corner Kicks5
2Offsides0
56%Ball Possession44%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
422Total passes348
318Passes accurate230
75%Passes %66%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Burnley is 6.35, compared to — for Crystal Palace. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Burnley's highest-rated starter is A. Barnes (6.35), while Crystal Palace's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Burnley deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Crystal Palace's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Burnley field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Crystal Palace's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Burnley start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.35, compared to 1 for Crystal Palace averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Discipline

Burnley's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Crystal Palace. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Burnley's starting XI is 36.0 (youngest: A. Barnes (36), oldest: A. Barnes (36)), while Crystal Palace average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Burnley's starters average 6 league appearances each, versus 0 for Crystal Palace. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Burnley4-4-24-5-1Crystal Palace
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Heaton26Bardsley6Mee5Tarkows.3Taylor4Cork18Westwood13Hendrick10Barnes11Wood31McNeil13Henness.5Tomkins6Dann3Aanholt15Schlupp29Wan-Bis.8Kouyaté4Milivoj.7Meyer11Zaha23Batshua.

Substitutes

Coach: S. Dyche

Substitutes

Coach: R. Hodgson

BurnleyPosition StrengthCrystal Palace
6.35
Avg Rating
6.35Forward (2 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
Burnley4-4-2
1GoalkeeperT. Heaton
26DefenderP. Bardsley
6DefenderB. Mee
5DefenderJ. Tarkowski
3DefenderC. Taylor
4MidfielderJ. Cork
18MidfielderA. Westwood
13MidfielderJ. Hendrick
31MidfielderD. McNeil
10ForwardA. Barnes6.3
11ForwardC. Wood
Crystal Palace4-5-1
13GoalkeeperW. Hennessey
5DefenderJ. Tomkins
6DefenderS. Dann
3DefenderP. van Aanholt
29DefenderA. Wan-Bissaka
15MidfielderJ. Schlupp
8MidfielderC. Kouyaté
4MidfielderL. Milivojević
7MidfielderM. Meyer
11MidfielderW. Zaha
23ForwardM. Batshuayi

Match Summary

Crystal Palace defeated Burnley 3:1. The match was played in Premier League 2018. Goals were scored by P. Bardsley 15′ (o.g.), M. Batshuayi 48′, W. Zaha 76′, A. Barnes 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Burnley had 56% possession while Crystal Palace held 44%. Burnley had 18 shots (4 on target) compared to 10 (4 on target) for Crystal Palace. Burnley made 3 substitutions, Crystal Palace made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Burnley vs Crystal Palace Head to Head Results

21 stretnutí
Burnley
8
wins
Drawn
4
Crystal Palace
9
wins
Total goals
54 · 2.6/match
Both scored
7/21 · 33%
Over 2.5
7/21 · 33%

Recent Form

Burnley

DLLLLL

Crystal Palace

DWLWLD

Match Prediction

Burnley

35%

Home win

 

35%

Draw

Crystal Palace

30%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Burnley or draw

50%Form50%
47%Attack53%
46%Defence54%
60%Head-to-head40%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burnley4wins
2draws10 meetings
Crystal Palace4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Crystal Palace.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.3%Draw 30.5%Away 37.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.202.62
Max2.903.322.75
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.8%29.5%36.7%
Public market34.9%29.6%35.5%
Δ1.1%1.2%

Burnley vs Crystal Palace — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Crystal Palace
Result vs. Market: Crystal Palace (37%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:01Crystal Palace
18Shots10
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/02/26Crystal Palace2–3Burnley1.57/4.00/6.25
03/12/25Burnley0–1Crystal Palace4.57/3.80/1.77
24/02/24Crystal Palace3–0Burnley1.96/3.48/3.91
04/11/23Burnley0–2Crystal Palace2.81/3.16/2.62
26/02/22Crystal Palace1–1Burnley1.95/3.45/4.16
20/11/21Burnley3–3Crystal Palace2.73/3.20/2.73
13/02/21Crystal Palace0–3Burnley2.44/3.13/3.20
23/11/20Burnley1–0Crystal Palace2.78/3.09/2.81
29/06/20Crystal Palace0–1Burnley2.31/3.19/3.37
30/11/19Burnley0–2Crystal Palace2.30/3.26/3.30

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored376

Away Record: Crystal Palace

W 182D 159L 267
Over 2.547
Goals scored683

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026