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Watford vs Norwich

Vicarage Road, Watford21 January 2022 at 20:00
03
Referee: M. Dean

Match Events

Watford
Norwich
Kick Off
21′
J. SørensenK. McLean
Emmanuel Dennis36′
38′Kenny McLean
Half Time
51′
J. Sargent

assist: T. Pukki

VAR
52′Goal confirmed
T. CleverleyJ. Hernández
59′
VAR
74′Goal confirmed
74′
J. Sargent

assist: M. Rashica

Emmanuel Dennis78′
Emmanuel Dennis78′
H. KamaraK. Sema
84′
87′
T. PukkiS. Byram
Kiko FemeníaJ. Kucka
89′
90+6′
M. RashicaP. Płacheta
90+2′
J. Kucka

Own Goal

Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots7
4Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox3
16Fouls11
5Corner Kicks1
1Offsides1
69%Ball Possession31%
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
565Total passes259
464Passes accurate152
82%Passes %59%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Watford is 6.67, compared to 6.80 for Norwich. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Watford's highest-rated starter is E. Kayembe (6.83), while Norwich's best-rated player is J. Sargent (6.80).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Watford have contributed 4 goals and 1 assists this season, led by E. Kayembe (4G). Norwich's starters account for 7 goals and 3 assists, spearheaded by J. Sargent (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Watford deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Norwich's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Watford field 3 midfielders averaging 6.67, versus Norwich's 4 rated 6.80. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Watford start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Norwich averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 83% for Watford and 71% for Norwich. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Watford's starters have collected 4 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Norwich. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Watford's starting XI is 31.5 (youngest: E. Kayembe (27), oldest: M. Sissoko (36)), while Norwich average 25.0 (youngest: J. Sargent (25), oldest: J. Sargent (25)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Watford's starters average 29 league appearances each, versus 23 for Norwich. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Watford4-3-34-4-2Norwich
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Bachmann27Kabasele21Femenía14Kamara22Samir19Sissoko8Cleverl.39Kayembe7King25Dennis10Pedro28Gunn5Hanley4Gibson2Aarons21Williams17Rashica20Melou19Sørensen22Pukki35Idah24Sargent

Substitutes

Coach: C. Ranieri

Substitutes

Coach: D. Smith

WatfordPosition StrengthNorwich
6.67
Avg Rating
6.80
6.67Midfielder (3 v 4)6.80
4G 1A7G 3A
Watford4-3-3
26GoalkeeperD. Bachmann
27DefenderC. Kabasele
21DefenderKiko Femenía
14DefenderH. Kamara
22DefenderSamir
19MidfielderM. Sissoko6.5
8MidfielderT. Cleverley
39MidfielderE. Kayembe6.84G1A
7ForwardJ. King
25ForwardE. Dennis
10ForwardJoão Pedro
Norwich4-4-2
28GoalkeeperA. Gunn
5DefenderG. Hanley
4DefenderB. Gibson
2DefenderM. Aarons
21DefenderB. Williams
17MidfielderM. Rashica
20MidfielderP. Lees Melou
19MidfielderJ. Sørensen
24MidfielderJ. Sargent6.87G3A
22ForwardT. Pukki
35ForwardA. Idah

Match Summary

Norwich defeated Watford 3:0. The match was played in Premier League 2021. Goals were scored by J. Sargent 51′, J. Sargent 74′, J. Kucka 90′ (o.g.). 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Watford had 69% possession while Norwich held 31%. Watford had 15 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Norwich. Watford made 3 substitutions, Norwich made 3. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Josh Sargent 52′), Goal confirmed (Josh Sargent 74′).

Rivalry since 2014

Watford vs Norwich Head to Head Results

18 stretnutí
Watford
11
wins
Drawn
0
Norwich
7
wins
Total goals
55 · 3.1/match
Both scored
9/18 · 50%
Over 2.5
11/18 · 61%

Recent Form

Watford

LLLLLD

Norwich

LDWWLW

Match Prediction

Watford

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Norwich

10%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Watford or draw

25%Form75%
67%Attack33%
54%Defence46%
100%Head-to-head0%

Injuries & Suspensions

Watford

  • DoubtfulK. Baah
  • DoubtfulO. Etebo
  • DoubtfulI. Louza
  • DoubtfulA. Masina
  • DoubtfulN. N'Koulou
  • DoubtfulI. Sarr
  • DoubtfulW. Troost-Ekong

Norwich

  • DoubtfulB. Gilmour
  • DoubtfulT. Krul
  • DoubtfulM. Normann
  • DoubtfulA. Omobamidele
  • DoubtfulL. Rupp

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Watford dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Watford4wins
0draws6 meetings
Norwich2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.9%Draw 28.8%Away 27.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.403.60
Max2.093.533.75
Over 2.5: 51.5%Under 2.5: 51.0%
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.2%27.4%26.4%
Public market47.5%27.1%25.3%
Δ1.3%0.2%1.1%

Watford vs Norwich — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Norwich
Result vs. Market: Watford (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:00Norwich
15Shots7
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/01/22Watford0–3Norwich2.05/3.48/3.67
18/09/21Norwich1–3Watford2.17/3.36/3.51
07/07/20Watford2–1Norwich1.73/3.70/5.10
08/11/19Norwich0–2Watford2.67/3.53/2.60
11/05/16Norwich4–2Watford1.83/3.62/4.78
05/12/15Watford2–0Norwich2.15/3.36/3.63

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 73D 66L 165
Over 2.553
Goals scored310

Away Record: Norwich

W 78D 96L 176
Over 2.552
Goals scored353

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026