Premier League · Season 2023
Match Events
assist: A. Elanga
assist: A. Elanga
assist: T. Lockyer
Match Statistics
Lineups
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Nottingham Forest is 6.87, compared to 6.87 for Luton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Nottingham Forest's highest-rated starter is Murillo (7.02), while Luton's best-rated player is A. Doughty (8.00).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Nottingham Forest have contributed 20 goals and 7 assists this season, led by M. Gibbs-White (13G). Luton's starters account for 1 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by T. Mengi (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Nottingham Forest deploy 4 defenders rated 7.02 on average, against Luton's 4-man backline averaging 7.40. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Nottingham Forest field 3 midfielders averaging 6.90, versus Luton's 4 rated 6.52. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Nottingham Forest start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.78, compared to 2 for Luton averaging 6.49. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 81% for Nottingham Forest and 66% for Luton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Nottingham Forest's starters have collected 14 yellow cards this season, compared to 5 for Luton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Nottingham Forest's starting XI is 28.5 (youngest: Murillo (23), oldest: W. Boly (34)), while Luton average 26.6 (youngest: T. Mengi (23), oldest: M. Nakamba (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Nottingham Forest's starters average 21 league appearances each, versus 9 for Luton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: S. Cooper
Substitutes
Coach: R. Edwards
Match Summary
Nottingham Forest and Luton drew 2:2. The match was played in Premier League 2023. Goals were scored by C. Wood 48′, C. Wood 76′, C. Ogbene 83′, E. Adebayo 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Nottingham Forest had 57% possession while Luton held 43%. Nottingham Forest had 19 shots (8 on target) compared to 13 (4 on target) for Luton. Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 2.97 — Luton 1.71. Nottingham Forest made 5 substitutions, Luton made 5.
Nottingham Forest vs Luton Head to Head Results
8 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Match Prediction
Nottingham Forest
45%
Home win
45%
Draw
Luton
10%
Away win
Model advice
Combo Double chance : Nottingham Forest or draw and -3.5 goals
Injuries & Suspensions
Nottingham Forest
- DoubtfulDanilo
- DoubtfulFelipe
- DoubtfulG. Montiel
- DoubtfulT. Awoniyi
- DoubtfulN. Tavares
Luton
- DoubtfulM. Andersen
- DoubtfulA. Bell
- DoubtfulJ. Clark
- DoubtfulA. S. Lokonga
- DoubtfulD. Potts
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.43 |
| Max | 1.70 | 3.89 | 5.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 57.1% | 25.0% | 17.9% |
| Public market | 57.2% | 25.5% | 17.4% |
Nottingham Forest vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nottingham Forest
Away Record: Luton
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026