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Tottenham vs Burnley

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London11 May 2024 at 15:00
21
Referee: J. Gillett

Match Events

Tottenham
Burnley
Kick Off
11′Josh Cullen
25′
J. Bruun Larsen

assist: S. Berge

Pedro Porro

assist: B. Johnson

32′
Half Time
46′Charlie Taylor
James Maddison47′
Oliver Skipp55′
65′Sander Berge
67′Jacob Bruun Larsen
72′
VitinhoB. Manuel
D. KulusevskiD. Scarlett
75′
Y. BissoumaR. Bentancur
75′
O. SkippR. Drăgușin
75′
81′
J. Bruun LarsenM. Trésor
M. van de Ven

assist: J. Maddison

82′
Pape Matar Sarr87′
87′
L. FosterD. Fofana
J. MaddisonG. Lo Celso
88′
P. SarrP. Højbjerg
88′
88′
J. CullenZ. Amdouni
90+1′Lorenz Assignon
Full Time

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
21Total Shots7
6Blocked Shots2
16Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox1
10Fouls14
9Corner Kicks3
1Offsides3
63%Ball Possession37%
3Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves7
547Total passes318
482Passes accurate235
88%Passes %74%
2.72expected_goals0.67

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Tottenham is 6.82, compared to 6.63 for Burnley. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Tottenham's highest-rated starter is C. Romero (7.13), while Burnley's best-rated player is J. Cullen (6.91).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Tottenham have contributed 13 goals and 7 assists this season, led by C. Romero (4G). Burnley's starters account for 5 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by L. Foster (3G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Tottenham deploy 4 defenders rated 6.91 on average, against Burnley's 4-man backline averaging 6.63. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Tottenham field 3 midfielders averaging 6.75, versus Burnley's 4 rated 6.71. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Tottenham start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.63, compared to 2 for Burnley averaging 6.47. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Tottenham and 80% for Burnley. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Tottenham's starters have collected 35 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Burnley. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Tottenham's starting XI is 27.1 (youngest: P. Sarr (23), oldest: Son Heung-Min (33)), while Burnley average 26.0 (youngest: M. Esteve (23), oldest: J. Cullen (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Tottenham's starters average 21 league appearances each, versus 26 for Burnley. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Tottenham4-3-34-4-2Burnley
GKDEFMIDFWD
13Vicario23Porro17Romero37Ven4Skipp29Sarr8Bissouma10Maddison22Johnson7Heung-M.21Kulusev.49Murić20Assignon2O'Shea33Esteve3Taylor34Larsen24Cullen16Berge22Vitinho47Odobert17Foster

Substitutes

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Substitutes

Coach: V. Kompany

TottenhamPosition StrengthBurnley
6.82
Avg Rating
6.63
6.87Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.91Defender (4 v 4)6.63
9G 4A0G 0A
6.75Midfielder (3 v 4)6.71
2G 3A2G 3A
6.63Forward (3 v 2)6.47
2G 0A3G 2A
Tottenham4-3-3
13GoalkeeperG. Vicario6.9
23DefenderPedro Porro6.91G2A
17DefenderC. Romero7.14G1A
37DefenderM. van de Ven6.74G1A
4DefenderO. Skipp
29MidfielderP. Sarr6.92G3A
8MidfielderY. Bissouma6.6
10MidfielderJ. Maddison
22ForwardB. Johnson6.62G
7ForwardSon Heung-Min
21ForwardD. Kulusevski
Burnley4-4-2
49GoalkeeperA. Murić
20DefenderL. Assignon
2DefenderD. O'Shea
33DefenderM. Esteve6.6
3DefenderC. Taylor
34MidfielderJ. Bruun Larsen6.51A
24MidfielderJ. Cullen6.92G2A
16MidfielderS. Berge
22MidfielderVitinho
47ForwardW. Odobert
17ForwardL. Foster6.53G2A

Match Summary

Tottenham defeated Burnley 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2023. Goals were scored by J. Bruun Larsen 25′, Pedro Porro 32′, M. van de Ven 82′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Tottenham had 63% possession while Burnley held 37%. Tottenham had 21 shots (9 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Burnley. Expected goals: Tottenham 2.72 — Burnley 0.67. Tottenham made 5 substitutions, Burnley made 4.

Rivalry since 2014

Tottenham vs Burnley Head to Head Results

21 stretnutí
Tottenham
14
wins
Drawn
5
Burnley
2
wins
Total goals
55 · 2.6/match
Both scored
9/21 · 43%
Over 2.5
10/21 · 48%

Recent Form

Tottenham

DWWDLL

Burnley

DLLLLL

Match Prediction

Tottenham

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Burnley

10%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Tottenham or draw

38%Form63%
50%Attack50%
36%Defence64%
80%Head-to-head20%

Injuries & Suspensions

Tottenham

  • DoubtfulB. Davies
  • DoubtfulF. Forster
  • DoubtfulR. Sessegnon
  • DoubtfulM. Solomon
  • DoubtfulD. Udogie
  • DoubtfulT. Werner
  • DoubtfulRicharlison

Burnley

  • DoubtfulA. Al Dakhil
  • DoubtfulJ. Beyer
  • DoubtfulA. Ramsey
  • DoubtfulN. Redmond
  • DoubtfulL. Koleosho

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Tottenham dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Tottenham7wins
2draws10 meetings
Burnley1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (71%) — the odds may underestimate Tottenham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 74.3%Draw 16.9%Away 13.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.335.757.00
Max1.366.167.50
Over 2.5: 80.0%Under 2.5: 25.0%
Market favourite:Tottenham · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market71.2%15.6%13.2%
Public market69.9%16.5%13.6%
Δ1.3%0.9%0.4%

Tottenham vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Tottenham
Result vs. Market: Tottenham (74%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TottenhamHalf-time:11Burnley
21Shots7
9Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Burnley2–2Tottenham3.70/3.50/2.05
16/08/25Tottenham3–0Burnley1.39/4.73/8.64
11/05/24Tottenham2–1Burnley1.35/5.90/7.26
02/09/23Burnley2–5Tottenham3.66/3.81/1.86
15/05/22Tottenham1–0Burnley1.33/5.26/9.10
23/02/22Burnley1–0Tottenham4.68/3.73/1.77
28/02/21Tottenham4–0Burnley1.55/4.00/6.91
26/10/20Burnley0–1Tottenham5.73/4.02/1.62
07/03/20Burnley1–1Tottenham2.71/3.31/2.68
07/12/19Tottenham5–0Burnley1.40/4.81/8.30

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Tottenham

W 544D 297L 418
Over 2.554
Goals scored1938

Away Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored376

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026