12 May 2021 at 18:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Kilmarnock dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.2
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Kilmarnock.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| Max | 2.01 | 3.50 | 4.23 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 48.3% | 28.7% | 23.0% |
| Public market | 48.1% | 26.8% | 25.0% |
| Δ | 0.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% |
Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2625/26 | Kilmarnock | 4–3 | St Mirren | 2.75/3.30/2.45 |
| 27/12/2525/26 | St Mirren | 0–0 | Kilmarnock | 1.76/3.50/4.50 |
| 04/10/2525/26 | Kilmarnock | 2–0 | St Mirren | 2.80/3.21/2.54 |
| 29/03/2524/25 | St Mirren | 5–1 | Kilmarnock | 2.33/3.27/3.18 |
| 02/01/2524/25 | Kilmarnock | 2–0 | St Mirren | 2.16/3.33/3.36 |
| 14/09/2424/25 | St Mirren | 2–2 | Kilmarnock | 2.25/3.33/3.23 |
| 11/05/2423/24 | St Mirren | 0–1 | Kilmarnock | 2.69/3.08/2.80 |
| 16/03/2423/24 | Kilmarnock | 5–2 | St Mirren | 2.14/3.18/3.72 |
| 27/12/2323/24 | St Mirren | 0–1 | Kilmarnock | 2.69/3.06/2.81 |
| 30/09/2323/24 | Kilmarnock | 1–1 | St Mirren | 2.37/3.27/3.09 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Kilmarnock
Away Record: ST Mirren
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren drew 3:3. The match was played in Premiership 2020. Goals were scored by K. Lafferty 8′, K. Lafferty 61′, J. McGrath 63′, C. MacPherson 78′, G. Kiltie 81′, C. Quaner 83′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Kilmarnock had 40% possession while ST Mirren held 60%. Kilmarnock had 19 shots (8 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for ST Mirren. Kilmarnock made 2 substitutions, ST Mirren made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Kilmarnock and ST Mirren — 6 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: C. Burke
assist: C. Waters
assist: J. Henderson
assist: D. Connolly
Match Statistics
Kilmarnock had 40% possession against ST Mirren's 60%. Kilmarnock registered 19 shots (8 on target) while ST Mirren managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 8–5. Fouls committed: 7–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Kilmarnock have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. ST Mirren show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Head to Head Results
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren have met 40 times — Kilmarnock won 22, ST Mirren won 9, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Kilmarnock leads the head-to-head with 22 victories from 40 meetings. A combined 101 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.52 per match (55 for the home side, 46 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Kilmarnock are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2026.
22
Kilmarnock
9
Drawn
9
ST Mirren
Recent Meetings (40)
API data: 15 Mar 2026