Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Kilmarnock.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Max | 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2625/26 | Kilmarnock | 2–0 | Livingston | 1.86/3.60/3.75 |
| 10/01/2625/26 | Livingston | 1–1 | Kilmarnock | 2.25/3.25/3.10 |
| 02/08/2525/26 | Kilmarnock | 2–2 | Livingston | 2.02/3.43/3.68 |
| 07/02/2423/24 | Kilmarnock | 1–0 | Livingston | 1.58/4.00/5.84 |
| 16/12/2323/24 | Livingston | 0–0 | Kilmarnock | 3.43/3.25/2.20 |
| 21/10/2323/24 | Kilmarnock | 3–1 | Livingston | 1.93/3.45/4.13 |
| 13/05/2322/23 | Kilmarnock | 2–0 | Livingston | 2.04/3.43/3.68 |
| 04/02/2322/23 | Livingston | 3–1 | Kilmarnock | 2.27/3.21/3.33 |
| 04/11/2222/23 | Kilmarnock | 2–3 | Livingston | 2.65/3.00/2.96 |
| 17/09/2222/23 | Livingston | 1–0 | Kilmarnock | 2.01/3.33/3.96 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Kilmarnock
Away Record: Livingston
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Kilmarnock defeated Livingston 2:0. The match was played in Premiership 2025. Goals were scored by J. Hugill 25′, F. Curtis 77′. 1 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Kilmarnock had 42% possession while Livingston held 58%. Kilmarnock had 17 shots (4 on target) compared to 10 (1 on target) for Livingston. Expected goals: Kilmarnock 1.87 — Livingston 0.84. Kilmarnock made 5 substitutions, Livingston made 5. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Brooklyn Kabongolo 83′).
Match Events
Key match events between Kilmarnock and Livingston — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Watkins
assist: J. Hugill
Match Statistics
Kilmarnock had 42% possession against Livingston's 58%. Kilmarnock registered 17 shots (4 on target) while Livingston managed 10 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 13–6.
Lineups
Kilmarnock lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under Kris Doolan, while Livingston deployed a 3-5-2 under Marvin Bartley.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Kilmarnock is 6.80, compared to 6.75 for Livingston. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Kilmarnock's highest-rated starter is Kelle Roos (7.38), while Livingston's best-rated player is Jérôme Prior (7.05).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Kilmarnock have contributed 15 goals and 10 assists this season, led by Greg Kiltie (4G). Livingston's starters account for 15 goals and 14 assists, spearheaded by Scott Pittman (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Kilmarnock deploy 4 defenders rated 6.68 on average, against Livingston's 3-man backline averaging 6.73. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Kilmarnock field 4 midfielders averaging 6.88, versus Livingston's 5 rated 6.69. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Kilmarnock start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.57, compared to 2 for Livingston averaging 6.77. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 73% for Kilmarnock and 71% for Livingston. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Kilmarnock's starters have collected 32 yellow cards this season, compared to 44 for Livingston. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Kilmarnock's starting XI is 27.2 (youngest: Findlay Curtis (19), oldest: Marley Watkins (35)), while Livingston average 28.9 (youngest: Macaulay Tait (20), oldest: Danny Wilson (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Kilmarnock's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 23 for Livingston. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Kris Doolan
Substitutes
Coach: Marvin Bartley
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Kilmarnock have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Livingston show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock vs Livingston Head to Head Results
Kilmarnock and Livingston have met 3 times — Kilmarnock won 1, Livingston won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Kilmarnock leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 7 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (4 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Kilmarnock are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.
1
Kilmarnock
2
Drawn
0
Livingston
Recent Meetings (3)
API data: 22 Mar 2026