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St Mirren vs Hibernian

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley2 February 2021 at 18:00
12
Referee: A. Muir

Match Events

ST Mirren
Hibernian
Kick Off
Jak Alnwick36′
K. DennisD. Lyness
38′
Half Time
Í. DurmuşJ. Obika
46′
46′
D. McGregorR. Porteous
E. BrophyD. Connolly
54′
54′
C. CaddenK. Nisbet
55′
R. Porteous

assist: M. Boyle

Dylan Connolly56′
Marcus Fraser70′
71′
M. Boyle

Penalty

J. Obika

assist: D. Connolly

74′
R. TaitK. McAllister
83′
88′Alexander Gogić
90+3′
J. MurphyK. Magennis
Full Time

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal4
4Total Shots11
0Blocked Shots3
1Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox3
11Fouls12
2Corner Kicks3
2Offsides2
46%Ball Possession54%
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
374Total passes411
248Passes accurate306
66%Passes %74%

Match Summary

Hibernian defeated ST Mirren 2:1. The match was played in Premiership 2020. Goals were scored by R. Porteous 55′, M. Boyle 71′ (pen.), J. Obika 74′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. ST Mirren had 46% possession while Hibernian held 54%. ST Mirren had 4 shots (1 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Hibernian. ST Mirren made 4 substitutions, Hibernian made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

ST Mirren vs Hibernian Head to Head Results

50 stretnutí
ST Mirren
11
wins
Drawn
15
Hibernian
24
wins
Total goals
131 · 2.6/match
Both scored
25/50 · 50%
Over 2.5
25/50 · 50%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2023

Recent Form

ST Mirren

LLLLWW

Hibernian

LLLWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

ST Mirren4wins
4draws10 meetings
Hibernian2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Hibernian.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.7%Draw 30.8%Away 42.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.202.25
Max3.203.292.46
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite:Hibernian · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.9%29.6%39.5%
Public market29.4%28.9%41.7%
Δ1.5%0.7%2.2%

ST Mirren vs Hibernian — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Hibernian
Result vs. Market: Hibernian (42%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ST MirrenHalf-time:00Hibernian
4Shots11
1Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
14/02/26Hibernian2–0St Mirren1.81/3.50/4.10
08/11/25St Mirren0–3Hibernian2.70/3.25/2.50
31/08/25Hibernian1–1St Mirren1.90/3.51/3.94
14/05/25St Mirren2–2Hibernian2.96/3.26/2.43
16/02/25St Mirren0–0Hibernian3.26/3.21/2.29
09/11/24Hibernian1–2St Mirren1.84/3.52/4.41
04/08/24St Mirren3–0Hibernian2.43/3.34/2.87
03/02/24Hibernian0–3St Mirren2.01/3.37/3.85
08/11/23St Mirren2–2Hibernian2.47/3.28/2.89
06/08/23Hibernian2–3St Mirren1.88/3.45/4.02

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: ST Mirren

W 169D 180L 324
Over 2.544
Goals scored643

Away Record: Hibernian

W 353D 296L 394
Over 2.551
Goals scored1376

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026