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Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock1 February 2025 at 17:45
Referee: D. Dickinson

Match Events

Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kick Off
B. LyonsL. Polworth
32′
Half Time
50′Emmanuel Adegboyega
K. MagennisR. Deas
55′
Danny Armstrong68′
70′
L. StephensonL. Fiorini
70′
R. PatonL. Moult
D. ArmstrongB. Anderson
71′
M. Watkins
72′
77′Will Ferry
82′
A. CampbellK. Trapanovski
82′
E. AdegboyegaG. Middleton
D. WatsonL. Donnelly
90′
M. WatkinsC. Ramsay
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal8
11Total Shots15
1Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox7
3Fouls9
3Corner Kicks4
1Offsides1
42%Ball Possession58%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
302Total passes426
177Passes accurate296
59%Passes %69%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated Dundee Utd 1:0. The match was played in Premiership 2024. Goals were scored by M. Watkins 72′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Kilmarnock had 42% possession while Dundee Utd held 58%. Kilmarnock had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 15 (1 on target) for Dundee Utd. Kilmarnock made 5 substitutions, Dundee Utd made 4.

Rivalry since 2010

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Head to Head Results

36 stretnutí
Kilmarnock
12
wins
Drawn
12
Dundee Utd
12
wins
Total goals
119 · 3.3/match
Both scored
25/36 · 69%
Over 2.5
21/36 · 58%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2024

Recent Form

Kilmarnock

WLDLWW

Dundee Utd

LWWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Kilmarnock4wins
5draws10 meetings
Dundee Utd1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Kilmarnock.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.9%Draw 30.3%Away 37.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.553.202.63
Max2.753.402.70
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market34.7%29.8%35.5%
Public market36.8%27.6%35.7%
Δ2.1%2.2%0.2%

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KilmarnockHalf-time:00Dundee Utd
11Shots15
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/05/26Kilmarnock3–0Dundee Utd2.25/3.50/2.85
21/02/26Dundee Utd1–1Kilmarnock1.96/3.60/3.70
29/11/25Kilmarnock1–1Dundee Utd2.57/3.40/2.50
27/09/25Dundee Utd0–2Kilmarnock2.12/3.50/3.28
01/02/25Kilmarnock1–0Dundee Utd2.64/3.30/2.67
07/12/24Dundee Utd1–1Kilmarnock2.20/3.45/3.25
28/09/24Kilmarnock3–3Dundee Utd2.34/3.19/3.20
01/02/23Kilmarnock1–0Dundee Utd2.39/3.24/3.10
09/11/22Dundee Utd4–0Kilmarnock2.44/3.22/3.06
30/07/22Kilmarnock1–1Dundee Utd2.43/3.21/3.05

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Kilmarnock

W 373D 289L 493
Over 2.549
Goals scored1352

Away Record: Dundee Utd

W 303D 269L 403
Over 2.550
Goals scored1173

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026