14 December 2015 at 20:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Academica.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.88 |
| Max | 2.60 | 3.09 | 3.26 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 38.5% | 31.6% | 29.9% |
| Public market | 37.5% | 31.3% | 31.3% |
| Δ | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% |
Academica vs Belenenses — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/1515/16 | Academica | 4–3 | Belenenses | 2.54/2.96/3.05 |
| 17/04/1615/16 | Belenenses | 1–1 | Academica | 2.15/3.29/3.48 |
| 02/01/1514/15 | Belenenses | 0–0 | Academica | 1.99/3.23/4.09 |
| 09/05/1514/15 | Academica | 1–1 | Belenenses | 2.48/3.02/3.08 |
| 15/09/1313/14 | Academica | 2–1 | Belenenses | 2.14/3.22/3.51 |
| 15/02/1413/14 | Belenenses | 0–0 | Academica | 2.41/2.95/3.29 |
| 22/02/1009/10 | Belenenses | 1–2 | Academica | 2.77/2.99/2.56 |
| 20/09/0909/10 | Academica | 1–1 | Belenenses | 2.16/3.03/3.33 |
| 17/11/0808/09 | Belenenses | 1–0 | Academica | 1.99/3.18/3.48 |
| 03/04/0908/09 | Academica | 1–0 | Belenenses | 2.15/3.00/3.43 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Academica
Away Record: Belenenses
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Academica defeated Belenenses 4:3. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2015. Goals were scored by Gonçalo Paciência 21′ (pen.), Pedro Nuno 42′, Ricardo Nascimento 45′ (o.g.), Ivanildo 46′, Tiago Caeiro 58′, Fernando Alexandre 80′, Ruben Pinto 90′. 9 yellow cards were shown. Academica had 38% possession while Belenenses held 62%. Academica had 14 shots (6 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Belenenses. Academica made 3 substitutions, Belenenses made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Academica and Belenenses — 7 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Academica had 38% possession against Belenenses's 62%. Academica registered 14 shots (6 on target) while Belenenses managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–8. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Academica have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Belenenses show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.
Academica
Belenenses
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Academica vs Belenenses Head to Head Results
Academica and Belenenses have met 6 times — Academica won 2, Belenenses won 0, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Academica leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 9 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.50 per match (6 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (17%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Academica are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2013.
2
Academica
4
Drawn
0
Belenenses
Recent Meetings (6)
API data: 15 Mar 2026