3 January 2016 at 17:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (60%) — the odds may underestimate Tondela.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.57 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Max | 1.63 | 3.89 | 7.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 59.8% | 25.1% | 15.2% |
| Public market | 59.8% | 26.8% | 13.4% |
| Δ | — | 1.8% | 1.7% |
Rio Ave vs Tondela — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2625/26 | Tondela | 0–1 | Rio Ave | 1.96/3.25/3.90 |
| 05/10/2525/26 | Rio Ave | 3–0 | Tondela | 2.26/3.41/3.06 |
| 09/02/2120/21 | Rio Ave | 2–1 | Tondela | 1.85/3.46/4.55 |
| 20/09/2020/21 | Tondela | 1–1 | Rio Ave | 3.83/3.25/2.05 |
| 22/02/2019/20 | Tondela | 1–2 | Rio Ave | 3.99/3.40/1.96 |
| 15/09/1919/20 | Rio Ave | 2–4 | Tondela | 1.63/4.21/5.01 |
| 01/02/1918/19 | Rio Ave | 2–2 | Tondela | 2.02/3.45/3.76 |
| 26/08/1818/19 | Tondela | 1–1 | Rio Ave | 2.24/3.22/3.37 |
| 02/12/1717/18 | Tondela | 1–3 | Rio Ave | 2.99/3.21/2.41 |
| 16/04/1817/18 | Rio Ave | 1–1 | Tondela | 1.72/3.59/5.06 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Rio Ave
Away Record: Tondela
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Tondela defeated Rio Ave 3:2. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2015. Goals were scored by Tarantini 32′, J. Murillo 57′, Wagner 69′, Nathan Junior 72′, Héldon 90′. 11 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Rio Ave had 57% possession while Tondela held 43%. Rio Ave had 17 shots (4 on target) compared to 14 (7 on target) for Tondela. Rio Ave made 2 substitutions, Tondela made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Rio Ave and Tondela — 5 goals and 12 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Rio Ave had 57% possession against Tondela's 43%. Rio Ave registered 17 shots (4 on target) while Tondela managed 14 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 5–8. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Rio Ave have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Tondela show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Rio Ave
Tondela
Rio Ave vs Tondela Head to Head Results
Rio Ave and Tondela have met 14 times — Rio Ave won 6, Tondela won 3, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Rio Ave leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (23 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (79%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2019.
6
Rio Ave
5
Drawn
3
Tondela
Recent Meetings (14)
API data: 15 Mar 2026