26 February 2016 at 20:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.2
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Nacional.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Max | 2.18 | 3.30 | 3.79 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 44.7% | 29.5% | 25.7% |
| Public market | 46.7% | 28.3% | 24.9% |
| Δ | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
Nacional vs Pacos Ferreira — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2120/21 | Pacos Ferreira | 2–1 | Nacional | 1.75/3.52/5.11 |
| 24/10/2020/21 | Nacional | 1–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.67/3.19/2.76 |
| 21/10/1616/17 | Pacos Ferreira | 1–1 | Nacional | 2.15/3.26/3.51 |
| 13/03/1716/17 | Nacional | 1–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.31/3.12/3.32 |
| 03/10/1515/16 | Pacos Ferreira | 3–1 | Nacional | 2.23/3.27/3.29 |
| 26/02/1615/16 | Nacional | 3–0 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.11/3.23/3.61 |
| 18/01/1514/15 | Pacos Ferreira | 2–3 | Nacional | 2.04/3.30/3.72 |
| 23/05/1514/15 | Nacional | 3–0 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.19/3.32/3.28 |
| 16/12/1313/14 | Nacional | 2–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.11/3.31/3.53 |
| 19/04/1413/14 | Pacos Ferreira | 0–5 | Nacional | 2.35/3.24/3.06 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nacional
Away Record: Pacos Ferreira
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Nacional defeated Pacos Ferreira 3:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2015. Goals were scored by Marco Baixinho 17′ (o.g.), Rui Correia 72′, Luís Aurélio 76′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Nacional had 43% possession while Pacos Ferreira held 57%. Nacional had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (3 on target) for Pacos Ferreira. Nacional made 3 substitutions, Pacos Ferreira made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Nacional and Pacos Ferreira — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Nacional had 43% possession against Pacos Ferreira's 57%. Nacional registered 9 shots (4 on target) while Pacos Ferreira managed 12 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 9–4. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Pacos Ferreira show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nacional
Pacos Ferreira
API data: 15 Mar 2026