14 May 2016 at 18:30

20
Full Time
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Tondela1wins
0draws2 meetings
Academica1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (61%) — the odds may underestimate Tondela.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.3%Draw 24.5%Away 17.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.574.005.00
Max1.604.246.10
Market favourite:Tondela · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market61.0%23.0%16.0%
Public market60.0%23.6%16.4%

Tondela vs Academica — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Tondela
Result vs. Market: Tondela (63%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TondelaHalf-time:10Academica

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
10/01/16Academica2–1Tondela2.02/3.07/4.21
14/05/16Tondela2–0Academica1.58/4.08/5.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Tondela

W 65D 61L 140
Over 2.549
Goals scored272

Away Record: Academica

W 118D 163L 231
Over 2.542
Goals scored500

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Tondela defeated Academica 2:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2015. Goals were scored by Pica 12′, Luis Alberto 53′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Tondela had 40% possession while Academica held 60%. Tondela had 16 shots (2 on target) compared to 9 (2 on target) for Academica. Tondela made 3 substitutions, Academica made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Tondela and Academica — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Tondela
Academica
Kick Off
Pica
12′
Half Time
65′
Ricardo NascimentoRui Pedro
65′
MarinhoMun Ki Hwang
Luis AlbertoJ. Murillo
73′
76′
N. PlangeI. Gui
82′Aderlan Silva
E. MorenoKarl
88′
WagnerDolly Menga
90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Tondela had 40% possession against Academica's 60%. Tondela registered 16 shots (2 on target) while Academica managed 9 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 22–22.

2Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
16Total Shots9
8Blocked Shots0
5Shots insidebox4
11Shots outsidebox5
22Fouls22
3Corner Kicks2
2Offsides1
40%Ball Possession60%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
269Total passes394
148Passes accurate283
55%Passes %72%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Tondela have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Academica show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Tondela

LDLDLD

Academica

WDLDWW

Tondela vs Academica Head to Head Results

Tondela and Academica have met 3 times — Tondela won 1, Academica won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 9 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (5 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2024.

1

Tondela

1

Drawn

1

Academica

Goals: 5Goals: 4

Recent Meetings (3)

10 Jul 2024Academica1 – 3Tondela
15 Jul 2023Tondela1 – 1Academica
10 Jan 2016Academica2 – 1Tondela
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026