5 February 2021 at 21:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Tondela.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.70 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Max | 1.73 | 3.86 | 5.28 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 56.7% | 25.0% | 18.3% |
| Public market | 55.2% | 26.1% | 18.8% |
| Δ | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Pacos Ferreira vs Tondela — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2221/22 | Pacos Ferreira | 1–1 | Tondela | 2.25/3.28/3.27 |
| 18/12/2121/22 | Tondela | 0–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.38/3.31/3.02 |
| 18/05/2120/21 | Tondela | 2–3 | Pacos Ferreira | 3.05/3.31/2.36 |
| 05/02/2120/21 | Pacos Ferreira | 2–1 | Tondela | 1.71/3.65/5.09 |
| 24/06/2019/20 | Tondela | 1–3 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.68/3.00/2.91 |
| 10/11/1919/20 | Pacos Ferreira | 1–0 | Tondela | 1.99/3.42/3.89 |
| 09/09/1717/18 | Tondela | 2–2 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.46/3.11/3.06 |
| 09/02/1817/18 | Pacos Ferreira | 0–2 | Tondela | 2.14/3.14/3.65 |
| 30/09/1616/17 | Tondela | 2–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.56/3.04/2.97 |
| 05/03/1716/17 | Pacos Ferreira | 0–0 | Tondela | 1.99/3.29/3.99 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Pacos Ferreira
Away Record: Tondela
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Pacos Ferreira defeated Tondela 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020. Goals were scored by Douglas Tanque 2′, João Pedro 66′ (pen.), João Pedro 85′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Pacos Ferreira had 53% possession while Tondela held 47%. Pacos Ferreira had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Tondela. Pacos Ferreira made 5 substitutions, Tondela made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Pacos Ferreira and Tondela — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: L. Singh
Penalty
assist: Fernando Fonseca
Match Statistics
Pacos Ferreira had 53% possession against Tondela's 47%. Pacos Ferreira registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Tondela managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 23–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Pacos Ferreira have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Tondela show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Pacos Ferreira
Tondela
Pacos Ferreira vs Tondela Head to Head Results
Pacos Ferreira and Tondela have met 15 times — Pacos Ferreira won 6, Tondela won 5, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Pacos Ferreira leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 41 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.73 per match (22 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Tondela are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2023.
6
Pacos Ferreira
4
Drawn
5
Tondela
Recent Meetings (15)
API data: 15 Mar 2026