21 February 2021 at 15:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Guimaraes dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Guimaraes.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.45 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| Max | 2.58 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 37.7% | 32.4% | 29.9% |
| Public market | 38.4% | 30.3% | 31.3% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2322/23 | Guimaraes | 0–0 | Pacos Ferreira | 1.96/3.36/3.97 |
| 08/10/2222/23 | Pacos Ferreira | 0–1 | Guimaraes | 3.18/3.18/2.34 |
| 15/04/2221/22 | Guimaraes | 4–0 | Pacos Ferreira | 1.77/3.62/4.55 |
| 04/12/2121/22 | Pacos Ferreira | 1–2 | Guimaraes | 3.07/3.09/2.47 |
| 21/02/2120/21 | Pacos Ferreira | 2–1 | Guimaraes | 2.53/3.00/3.12 |
| 02/10/2020/21 | Guimaraes | 1–0 | Pacos Ferreira | 1.74/3.51/5.22 |
| 08/03/2019/20 | Pacos Ferreira | 1–2 | Guimaraes | 5.32/3.73/1.67 |
| 29/09/1919/20 | Guimaraes | 1–0 | Pacos Ferreira | 1.53/4.13/6.45 |
| 26/08/1717/18 | Pacos Ferreira | 0–0 | Guimaraes | 2.58/3.13/2.87 |
| 04/02/1817/18 | Guimaraes | 3–2 | Pacos Ferreira | 1.70/3.64/5.09 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Pacos Ferreira
Away Record: Guimaraes
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Pacos Ferreira defeated Guimaraes 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020. Goals were scored by O. Estupiñán 23′, João Pedro 33′, Hélder Ferreira 62′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Pacos Ferreira had 58% possession while Guimaraes held 42%. Pacos Ferreira had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Guimaraes. Pacos Ferreira made 3 substitutions, Guimaraes made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Pacos Ferreira and Guimaraes — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Rochinha
assist: L. Singh
assist: Bruno Costa
Match Statistics
Pacos Ferreira had 58% possession against Guimaraes's 42%. Pacos Ferreira registered 8 shots (3 on target) while Guimaraes managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 10–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Pacos Ferreira have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Guimaraes show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Pacos Ferreira
Guimaraes
Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes Head to Head Results
Pacos Ferreira and Guimaraes have met 24 times — Pacos Ferreira won 5, Guimaraes won 13, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 24 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.88 per match (26 for the home side, 43 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (58%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Guimaraes are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–3 in 2016.
5
Pacos Ferreira
6
Drawn
13
Guimaraes
Recent Meetings (24)
API data: 15 Mar 2026