23 April 2023 at 17:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Benfica dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (87%) — the odds may underestimate Benfica.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.09 | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| Max | 1.11 | 10.13 | 29.51 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 87.2% | 9.6% | 3.3% |
| Public market | 85.3% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Δ | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% |
Benfica vs Estoril — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2625/26 | Benfica | 3–1 | Estoril | 1.21/6.11/12.14 |
| 03/05/2524/25 | Estoril | 1–2 | Benfica | 12.16/7.71/1.18 |
| 23/12/2424/25 | Benfica | 3–0 | Estoril | 1.09/10.24/21.73 |
| 10/03/2423/24 | Benfica | 3–1 | Estoril | 1.16/8.03/15.45 |
| 07/10/2323/24 | Estoril | 0–1 | Benfica | 9.90/5.88/1.25 |
| 23/04/2322/23 | Benfica | 1–0 | Estoril | 1.10/9.04/25.50 |
| 06/11/2222/23 | Estoril | 1–5 | Benfica | 9.61/5.66/1.30 |
| 20/03/2221/22 | Benfica | 2–1 | Estoril | 1.33/4.97/9.53 |
| 30/10/2121/22 | Estoril | 1–1 | Benfica | 8.01/4.32/1.42 |
| 09/12/1717/18 | Benfica | 3–1 | Estoril | 1.11/9.11/22.31 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Benfica
Away Record: Estoril
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Benfica defeated Estoril 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2022. Goals were scored by N. Otamendi 44′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Benfica had 60% possession while Estoril held 40%. Benfica had 19 shots (5 on target) compared to 4 (0 on target) for Estoril. Benfica made 3 substitutions, Estoril made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (João Mário 31′), Goal cancelled (Petar Musa 73′).
Match Events
Key match events between Benfica and Estoril — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: David Neres
Match Statistics
Benfica had 60% possession against Estoril's 40%. Benfica registered 19 shots (5 on target) while Estoril managed 4 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 11–2. Fouls committed: 18–16.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Benfica have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Estoril show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Benfica
Estoril
Benfica vs Estoril Head to Head Results
Benfica and Estoril have met 25 times — Benfica won 22, Estoril won 0, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Benfica leads the head-to-head with 22 victories from 25 meetings. A combined 82 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.28 per match (62 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (68%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (72%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Benfica are currently unbeaten in the last 25 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2022.
22
Benfica
3
Drawn
0
Estoril
Recent Meetings (25)
API data: 15 Mar 2026