20 May 2023 at 14:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
17%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Chaves.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.22 | 3.36 | 3.56 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 43.8% | 28.9% | 27.3% |
| Public market | 42.9% | 28.4% | 28.8% |
| Δ | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% |
Arouca vs Chaves — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Arouca
Away Record: Chaves
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Arouca defeated Chaves 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2022. Goals were scored by M. Sylla 63′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Arouca had 47% possession while Chaves held 53%. Arouca had 13 shots (7 on target) compared to 12 (3 on target) for Chaves. Arouca made 5 substitutions, Chaves made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (João Correia 45′).
Match Events
Key match events between Arouca and Chaves — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Match Statistics
Arouca had 47% possession against Chaves's 53%. Arouca registered 13 shots (7 on target) while Chaves managed 12 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–6. Fouls committed: 16–11.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Arouca have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Chaves show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Arouca
Chaves
Arouca vs Chaves Head to Head Results
Arouca and Chaves have met 8 times — Arouca won 2, Chaves won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Chaves leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (10 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2024.
2
Arouca
2
Drawn
4
Chaves
Recent Meetings (8)
API data: 15 Mar 2026