3 December 2023 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Benfica dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (15%) — the odds may underestimate Benfica.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Max | 6.42 | 4.41 | 1.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 14.8% | 21.6% | 63.5% |
| Public market | 16.5% | 20.9% | 62.6% |
| Δ | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
Moreirense vs Benfica — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2525/26 | Moreirense | 0–4 | Benfica | 8.67/4.63/1.35 |
| 08/02/2524/25 | Benfica | 3–2 | Moreirense | 1.19/6.65/12.94 |
| 30/08/2424/25 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Benfica | 7.27/4.47/1.43 |
| 14/04/2423/24 | Benfica | 3–0 | Moreirense | 1.26/5.83/11.19 |
| 03/12/2323/24 | Moreirense | 0–0 | Benfica | 5.97/4.36/1.46 |
| 15/01/2221/22 | Benfica | 1–1 | Moreirense | 1.18/6.89/16.85 |
| 07/08/2121/22 | Moreirense | 1–2 | Benfica | 7.30/4.54/1.44 |
| 14/02/2120/21 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Benfica | 8.27/4.82/1.38 |
| 26/09/2020/21 | Benfica | 2–0 | Moreirense | 1.14/7.87/18.85 |
| 21/09/1919/20 | Moreirense | 1–2 | Benfica | 9.01/5.11/1.34 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Moreirense
Away Record: Benfica
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Moreirense and Benfica drew 0:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2023. 5 yellow cards were shown. Moreirense had 32% possession while Benfica held 68%. Moreirense had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 16 (3 on target) for Benfica. Expected goals: Moreirense 0.98 — Benfica 1.40. Moreirense made 5 substitutions, Benfica made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (João Mário 73′).
Match Events
Key match events between Moreirense and Benfica — 0 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Moreirense had 32% possession against Benfica's 68%. Moreirense registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Benfica managed 16 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 2–7. Fouls committed: 13–11.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Moreirense have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Benfica show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Moreirense
Benfica
Moreirense vs Benfica Head to Head Results
Moreirense and Benfica have met 23 times — Moreirense won 1, Benfica won 17, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Benfica leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (18 for the home side, 51 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Benfica are currently unbeaten in the last 12 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.
1
Moreirense
5
Drawn
17
Benfica
Recent Meetings (23)
API data: 15 Mar 2026