5 May 2024 at 14:30

32
Full Time
Referee: Luís Godinho

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Farense2wins
1draws4 meetings
Estoril1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Farense.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.1%Draw 31.8%Away 34.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.452.992.80
Max2.673.253.09
Over 2.5: 53.2%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.3%32.4%31.3%
Public market37.4%29.8%32.9%
Δ1.1%2.6%1.5%

Farense vs Estoril — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Farense
Result vs. Market: Farense (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FarenseHalf-time:21Estoril
13Shots9
5Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/03/25Estoril2–2Farense2.08/3.15/3.65
06/10/24Farense1–0Estoril2.24/3.36/3.17
05/05/24Farense3–2Estoril2.56/3.15/2.93
30/12/23Estoril4–0Farense1.99/3.76/3.44

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Farense

W 102D 98L 174
Over 2.547
Goals scored397

Away Record: Estoril

W 126D 96L 173
Over 2.551
Goals scored487

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Farense defeated Estoril 3:2. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2023. Goals were scored by Gonçalo Silva 36′, Mattheus Oliveira 45′, Fabrício Garcia 45′, Rodrigo Gomes 52′, Bruno Duarte 65′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Farense had 50% possession while Estoril held 50%. Farense had 13 shots (5 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Estoril. Expected goals: Farense 1.11 — Estoril 0.63. Farense made 5 substitutions, Estoril made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Farense and Estoril — 5 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Farense
Estoril
Kick Off
Gonçalo Silva

assist: Marco Matias

36′
Mattheus Oliveira
45′
45+2′
Fabrício Garcia

assist: João Marques

Half Time
Bruno Duarte

assist: M. Belloumi

65′
Rafael BarbosaVítor Gonçalves
66′
Marco MatiasCristian Ponde
66′
71′
CassianoA. Marqués
71′
Vinicius ZanoceloR. Guitane
77′
Fabrício GarciaHeriberto Tavares
Mattheus OliveiraFabrício Isidoro
81′
M. BelloumiElves Baldé
81′
82′
Wagner PinaJoão Carlos
82′
Bernardo VitalRaúl Parra
Igor Rossi88′
Bruno DuarteRui Costa
90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Farense had 50% possession against Estoril's 50%. Farense registered 13 shots (5 on target) while Estoril managed 8 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 14–13.

5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls13
3Corner Kicks3
2Offsides1
50%Ball Possession50%
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
404Total passes389
331Passes accurate299
82%Passes %77%
1.11expected_goals0.63

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Farense have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Estoril show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Farense

WWLLDD

Estoril

LLLLWD

Farense vs Estoril Head to Head Results

Farense and Estoril have met 8 times — Farense won 4, Estoril won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Farense leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (9 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

4

Farense

1

Drawn

3

Estoril

Goals: 9Goals: 11

Recent Meetings (8)

8 Mar 2025Estoril2 – 2Farense
6 Oct 2024Farense1 – 0Estoril
30 Dec 2023Estoril4 – 0Farense
1 Feb 2020Farense0 – 2Estoril
18 Aug 2019Estoril1 – 2Farense
14 Apr 2019Farense3 – 1Estoril
16 Dec 2018Estoril1 – 0Farense
15 Oct 2017Farense1 – 0Estoril
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026