19 April 2025 at 14:30

11
Full Time
Referee: Pedro Ramalho

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AVS0wins
3draws4 meetings
Casa Pia1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Casa Pia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.2%Draw 31.6%Away 40.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.122.40
Max3.033.202.51
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.5%30.6%38.0%
Public market31.4%29.4%39.2%
Δ1.1%1.2%

AVS vs Casa Pia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Casa Pia (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AVSHalf-time:10Casa Pia
10Shots6
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
23/01/26Casa Pia3–3AVS2.01/3.10/4.00
15/08/25AVS0–2Casa Pia2.84/3.09/2.71
19/04/25AVS1–1Casa Pia3.01/3.16/2.46
08/12/24Casa Pia1–1AVS1.84/3.38/4.52

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AVS

W 6D 21L 36
Over 2.549
Goals scored44

Away Record: Casa Pia

W 38D 35L 57
Over 2.545
Goals scored136

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

AVS and Casa Pia drew 1:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024. Goals were scored by T. Akinsola 2′, Cauê 90′. 9 yellow cards were shown. AVS had 34% possession while Casa Pia held 66%. AVS had 10 shots (3 on target) compared to 6 (4 on target) for Casa Pia. Expected goals: AVS 0.88 — Casa Pia 1.17. AVS made 5 substitutions, Casa Pia made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between AVS and Casa Pia — 2 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.

AVS
Casa Pia
Kick Off
Zé Luís41′
Half Time
66′
Henrique PereiraMiguel Sousa
66′
João GoulartCauê
66′
Gaizka LarrazabalF. Benaissa-Yahia
74′
Leonardo LeloTiago Dias
Gustavo MendonçaT. Galletto
76′
Fernando FonsecaTomás Tavares
83′
Zé LuísRodrigo Ribeiro
84′
Rafael RodriguesKiki
84′
89′
J. LivolantA. Kraev
T. AkinsolaVasco Lopes
90′
90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

AVS had 34% possession against Casa Pia's 66%. AVS registered 10 shots (3 on target) while Casa Pia managed 6 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 14–11.

3Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal1
10Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox0
14Fouls11
3Corner Kicks4
1Offsides4
34%Ball Possession66%
7Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
217Total passes426
140Passes accurate343
65%Passes %81%
0.88expected_goals1.17
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, AVS have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. Casa Pia show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

AVS

DDLDLD

Casa Pia

LDLDLD

AVS vs Casa Pia Head to Head Results

AVS and Casa Pia have met 2 times — AVS won 0, Casa Pia won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Casa Pia leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (3 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2026.

0

AVS

1

Drawn

1

Casa Pia

Goals: 3Goals: 5

Recent Meetings (2)

23 Jan 2026Casa Pia3 – 3AVS
15 Aug 2025AVS0 – 2Casa Pia
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026