19 April 2025 at 14:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
GIL Vicente dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Nacional.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.38 | 3.11 | 3.24 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 40.0% | 30.6% | 29.4% |
| Public market | 40.6% | 30.2% | 29.2% |
Nacional vs GIL Vicente — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2625/26 | Gil Vicente | 2–1 | Nacional | 1.61/3.60/5.50 |
| 09/08/2525/26 | Nacional | 0–2 | Gil Vicente | 2.50/3.15/2.93 |
| 19/04/2524/25 | Nacional | 0–3 | Gil Vicente | 2.34/3.10/3.22 |
| 07/12/2424/25 | Gil Vicente | 2–1 | Nacional | 2.01/3.40/3.68 |
| 19/03/2120/21 | Gil Vicente | 2–0 | Nacional | 2.06/3.22/3.94 |
| 08/11/2020/21 | Nacional | 2–1 | Gil Vicente | 2.62/3.02/2.94 |
| 30/11/1414/15 | Gil Vicente | 0–0 | Nacional | 3.38/3.17/2.23 |
| 12/04/1514/15 | Nacional | 3–2 | Gil Vicente | 1.60/3.66/6.07 |
| 12/01/1413/14 | Nacional | 2–0 | Gil Vicente | 1.78/3.49/4.74 |
| 11/05/1413/14 | Gil Vicente | 1–0 | Nacional | 2.82/3.27/2.49 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nacional
Away Record: GIL Vicente
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
GIL Vicente defeated Nacional 3:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024. Goals were scored by Félix Correia 16′, Pablo 62′, Félix Correia 82′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Nacional had 64% possession while GIL Vicente held 36%. Nacional had 20 shots (6 on target) compared to 8 (4 on target) for GIL Vicente. Expected goals: Nacional 0.79 — GIL Vicente 1.62. Nacional made 4 substitutions, GIL Vicente made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Zé Carlos 80′), Goal cancelled (Joel Tagueu 90′).
Match Events
Key match events between Nacional and GIL Vicente — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Match Statistics
Nacional had 64% possession against GIL Vicente's 36%. Nacional registered 20 shots (6 on target) while GIL Vicente managed 8 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 9–0. Fouls committed: 8–12.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. GIL Vicente show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nacional
GIL Vicente
Nacional vs GIL Vicente Head to Head Results
Nacional and GIL Vicente have met 16 times — Nacional won 6, GIL Vicente won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. GIL Vicente leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.25 per match (18 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. GIL Vicente are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2015.
6
Nacional
3
Drawn
7
GIL Vicente
Recent Meetings (16)
API data: 15 Mar 2026