27 April 2025 at 14:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.20 | 2.95 | 3.60 |
| Max | 2.26 | 3.10 | 3.71 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 42.1% | 32.3% | 25.6% |
| Public market | 43.1% | 30.6% | 26.3% |
| Δ | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Moreirense vs Nacional — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2625/26 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Nacional | 2.30/3.25/3.00 |
| 04/10/2525/26 | Nacional | 3–2 | Moreirense | 2.37/3.09/3.16 |
| 27/04/2524/25 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Nacional | 2.23/3.03/3.66 |
| 14/12/2424/25 | Nacional | 1–0 | Moreirense | 2.78/3.13/2.63 |
| 06/05/2120/21 | Moreirense | 2–2 | Nacional | 2.28/3.35/3.18 |
| 17/01/2120/21 | Nacional | 0–1 | Moreirense | 2.38/3.13/3.20 |
| 28/01/1918/19 | Moreirense | 2–1 | Nacional | 1.97/3.36/4.05 |
| 19/08/1818/19 | Nacional | 1–2 | Moreirense | 2.32/3.20/3.20 |
| 04/12/1616/17 | Moreirense | 3–1 | Nacional | 2.27/3.23/3.29 |
| 17/04/1716/17 | Nacional | 0–1 | Moreirense | 2.22/3.21/3.41 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Moreirense
Away Record: Nacional
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Moreirense and Nacional drew 1:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024. Goals were scored by Maranhão 63′, Zé Vitor 80′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Moreirense had 58% possession while Nacional held 42%. Moreirense had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 18 (4 on target) for Nacional. Expected goals: Moreirense 0.49 — Nacional 0.52. Moreirense made 4 substitutions, Nacional made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Moreirense and Nacional — 2 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Benny
assist: Gustavo Garcia
Match Statistics
Moreirense had 58% possession against Nacional's 42%. Moreirense registered 8 shots (3 on target) while Nacional managed 18 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 2–5. Fouls committed: 10–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Moreirense have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Nacional show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Moreirense
Nacional
Moreirense vs Nacional Head to Head Results
Moreirense and Nacional have met 18 times — Moreirense won 13, Nacional won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Moreirense leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 47 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.61 per match (31 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nacional are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.
13
Moreirense
2
Drawn
3
Nacional
Recent Meetings (18)
API data: 15 Mar 2026