17 May 2025 at 17:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Estoril dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.5
Average goals per game
67%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Estoril.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.50 | 3.27 | 2.75 |
| Max | 2.57 | 3.30 | 2.78 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 36.9% | 29.0% | 34.1% |
| Public market | 37.5% | 28.4% | 34.1% |
Estoril vs Estrela — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Estoril
Away Record: Estrela
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Estoril defeated Estrela 4:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024. Goals were scored by Y. Begraoui 6′, Y. Begraoui 8′, André Lacximicant 20′, Y. Begraoui 23′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Estoril had 50% possession while Estrela held 50%. Estoril had 10 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Estrela. Expected goals: Estoril 2.59 — Estrela 0.62. Estoril made 5 substitutions, Estrela made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Estoril and Estrela — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Pedro Carvalho
assist: João Carvalho
assist: André Lacximicant
Match Statistics
Estoril had 50% possession against Estrela's 50%. Estoril registered 10 shots (6 on target) while Estrela managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 18–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Estoril have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Estrela show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Estoril
Estrela
Estoril vs Estrela Head to Head Results
Estoril and Estrela have met 2 times — Estoril won 1, Estrela won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Estoril leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 7 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.50 per match (6 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–5 in 2026.
1
Estoril
1
Drawn
0
Estrela
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026