15 March 2026 at 18:00

21
Full Time

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Rio Ave3wins
2draws6 meetings
Estrela1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Rio Ave.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.4%Draw 30.8%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.253.10
Max2.253.253.10
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Rio Ave · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Rio Ave
Result vs. Market: Rio Ave (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Rio AveHalf-time:10Estrela
18Shots11
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/03/26Rio Ave2–1Estrela2.25/3.25/3.10
25/10/25Estrela1–2Rio Ave2.61/3.23/2.73
05/05/25Rio Ave2–0Estrela2.37/3.29/3.04
23/12/24Estrela1–0Rio Ave2.37/3.24/3.05
14/04/24Estrela2–2Rio Ave2.53/3.14/2.97
02/12/23Rio Ave1–1Estrela2.12/3.45/3.19

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rio Ave

W 237D 243L 307
Over 2.542
Goals scored845

Away Record: Estrela

W 20D 30L 47
Over 2.543
Goals scored90

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Rio Ave defeated Estrela 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by J. Blesa 27′, J. Blesa 48′, Rodrigo Pinho 65′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Rio Ave had 44% possession while Estrela held 56%. Rio Ave had 18 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Estrela. Expected goals: Rio Ave 2.75 — Estrela 1.34. Rio Ave made 5 substitutions, Estrela made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Rio Ave and Estrela — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Rio Ave
Estrela
Kick Off
J. Blesa

assist: D. Spikic

27′
Half Time
J. Blesa

assist: D. Spikic

48′
54′
I. StoicaRobinho
54′
OtavioG. Doue
O. PohlmannRyan Guilherme
58′
65′
Rodrigo Pinho

assist: Robinho

D. SpikicJ. Tome
75′
N. AbbeyT. Monteiro
75′
80′Eddy Doué
83′
M. ScholzeL. Antonetti
Diogo BezerraG. Liavas
88′
J. BlesaF. Petrasso
89′
89′
B. LangaY. Kalley
89′
Luan PatrickT. Moustier
Full Time

Match Statistics

Rio Ave had 44% possession against Estrela's 56%. Rio Ave registered 18 shots (6 on target) while Estrela managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 10–4. Fouls committed: 16–12.

6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal6
18Total Shots11
9Blocked Shots2
12Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox6
16Fouls12
10Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
44%Ball Possession56%
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
358Total passes462
296Passes accurate389
83%Passes %84%
2.75expected_goals1.34
1goals_prevented1

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Rio Ave have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Estrela show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Rio Ave

DWLWWW

Estrela

LLLWLD

Rio Ave vs Estrela Head to Head Results

Rio Ave and Estrela have met 7 times — Rio Ave won 4, Estrela won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Rio Ave leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (13 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–5 in 2021.

4

Rio Ave

2

Drawn

1

Estrela

Goals: 13Goals: 7

Recent Meetings (7)

25 Oct 2025Estrela1 – 2Rio Ave
5 May 2025Rio Ave2 – 0Estrela
23 Dec 2024Estrela1 – 0Rio Ave
14 Apr 2024Estrela2 – 2Rio Ave
2 Dec 2023Rio Ave1 – 1Estrela
14 Feb 2022Rio Ave1 – 0Estrela
10 Sept 2021Estrela2 – 5Rio Ave
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 20 Mar 2026