14 March 2026 at 15:30

12
Full Time
Referee: Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Guimaraes dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Guimaraes6wins
1draws10 meetings
Famalicao3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Guimaraes.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.6%Draw 30.8%Away 35.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.353.252.85
Max2.353.252.85
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Famalicao
Result vs. Market: Guimaraes (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GuimaraesHalf-time:11Famalicao
12Shots13
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
14/03/26Guimaraes1–2Famalicao2.35/3.25/2.85
26/10/25Famalicao2–0Guimaraes1.92/3.37/4.09
08/02/25Famalicao0–0Guimaraes3.09/2.98/2.39
01/09/24Guimaraes2–1Famalicao1.95/3.39/3.94
09/03/24Guimaraes1–0Famalicao1.83/3.63/4.37
08/10/23Famalicao1–3Guimaraes2.54/3.16/2.81
14/04/23Famalicao2–1Guimaraes2.22/3.03/3.62
31/10/22Guimaraes3–2Famalicao2.02/3.34/3.83
06/03/22Guimaraes2–1Famalicao2.13/3.32/3.56
01/10/21Famalicao1–2Guimaraes2.50/3.31/2.85

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Guimaraes

W 411D 244L 366
Over 2.546
Goals scored1307

Away Record: Famalicao

W 81D 70L 82
Over 2.552
Goals scored294

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Famalicao defeated Guimaraes 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by J. De Haas 17′, Samu 23′, Sorriso 47′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Guimaraes had 44% possession while Famalicao held 56%. Guimaraes had 12 shots (6 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Famalicao. Expected goals: Guimaraes 0.47 — Famalicao 1.47. Guimaraes made 5 substitutions, Famalicao made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Guimaraes and Famalicao — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Guimaraes
Famalicao
Kick Off
17′
J. De Haas

assist: Sorriso

Samu

assist: N. Saviolo

23′
Half Time
47′
GustavoT. Arcanjo
62′
N. OliveiraA. Ndoye
62′
D. SousaG. Nogueira
70′
73′
P. SantosM. Pena
BeniM. Nogueira
80′
N. SavioloO. Camara
80′
84′
Gil DiasR. Beney
90+1′Sorriso
90+1′
SorrisoA. Joujou
90+1′
S. ElisorU. Abubakar
Full Time

Match Statistics

Guimaraes had 44% possession against Famalicao's 56%. Guimaraes registered 12 shots (6 on target) while Famalicao managed 13 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–11. Fouls committed: 22–12.

6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
12Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots4
7Shots insidebox8
5Shots outsidebox5
22Fouls12
3Corner Kicks11
0Offsides2
44%Ball Possession56%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
359Total passes456
302Passes accurate388
84%Passes %85%
0.47expected_goals1.47
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Guimaraes have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Famalicao show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Guimaraes

WDWLLL

Famalicao

DDDWWW

Guimaraes vs Famalicao Head to Head Results

Guimaraes and Famalicao have met 13 times — Guimaraes won 8, Famalicao won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 37 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.85 per match (24 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (62%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–7 in 2020.

8

Guimaraes

2

Drawn

3

Famalicao

Goals: 24Goals: 13

Recent Meetings (13)

26 Oct 2025Famalicao2 – 0Guimaraes
8 Feb 2025Famalicao0 – 0Guimaraes
1 Sept 2024Guimaraes2 – 1Famalicao
9 Mar 2024Guimaraes1 – 0Famalicao
8 Oct 2023Famalicao1 – 3Guimaraes
14 Apr 2023Famalicao2 – 1Guimaraes
31 Oct 2022Guimaraes3 – 2Famalicao
6 Mar 2022Guimaraes2 – 1Famalicao
1 Oct 2021Famalicao1 – 2Guimaraes
12 May 2021Guimaraes1 – 2Famalicao
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 20 Mar 2026