21 March 2026 at 15:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Famalicao.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Max | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2625/26 | Famalicao | 1–0 | Nacional | 1.66/3.60/5.00 |
| 01/11/2525/26 | Nacional | 0–1 | Famalicao | 3.17/3.31/2.25 |
| 01/03/2524/25 | Nacional | 2–1 | Famalicao | 2.57/3.00/2.87 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | Famalicao | 0–0 | Nacional | 1.60/3.82/5.64 |
| 16/05/2120/21 | Famalicao | 3–0 | Nacional | 1.89/3.62/4.03 |
| 30/01/2120/21 | Nacional | 2–1 | Famalicao | 2.90/3.01/2.69 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Famalicao
Away Record: Nacional
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Famalicao defeated Nacional 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by I. Ba 63′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Famalicao had 54% possession while Nacional held 46%. Famalicao had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 9 (6 on target) for Nacional. Expected goals: Famalicao 1.74 — Nacional 0.43. Famalicao made 4 substitutions, Nacional made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Famalicao and Nacional — 1 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: G. Sa
Match Statistics
Famalicao had 54% possession against Nacional's 46%. Famalicao registered 14 shots (4 on target) while Nacional managed 9 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 7–6. Fouls committed: 10–14.
Lineups
Famalicao lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under Hugo Oliveira, while Nacional deployed a 4-3-3 under Tiago Margarido.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Famalicao is 6.98, compared to 6.75 for Nacional. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Famalicao's highest-rated starter is Gil Dias (7.21), while Nacional's best-rated player is Kaique (7.04).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Famalicao have contributed 26 goals and 21 assists this season, led by Sorriso (5G). Nacional's starters account for 14 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by Ze Vitor (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Famalicao deploy 4 defenders rated 7.03 on average, against Nacional's 4-man backline averaging 6.83. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Famalicao field 3 midfielders averaging 6.96, versus Nacional's 3 rated 6.62. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Famalicao start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.88, compared to 3 for Nacional averaging 6.68. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 80% for Famalicao and 77% for Nacional. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Famalicao's starters have collected 61 yellow cards this season, compared to 51 for Nacional. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Famalicao's starting XI is 24.6 (youngest: Ibrahima Ba (20), oldest: Rafa Soares (30)), while Nacional average 24.9 (youngest: Alan Núñez (21), oldest: Lucas João (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Famalicao's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 21 for Nacional. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Substitutes
Coach: Tiago Margarido
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Famalicao have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Nacional show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Famalicao
Nacional
Famalicao vs Nacional Head to Head Results
Famalicao and Nacional have met 7 times — Famalicao won 3, Nacional won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.57 per match (9 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (71%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2018.
3
Famalicao
1
Drawn
3
Nacional
Recent Meetings (7)
API data: 22 Mar 2026