21 March 2026 at 15:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Moreirense.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.35 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Max | 2.35 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2625/26 | Moreirense | 0–1 | Arouca | 2.35/3.20/3.00 |
| 02/11/2525/26 | Arouca | 0–2 | Moreirense | 2.58/3.25/2.72 |
| 24/01/2524/25 | Arouca | 1–0 | Moreirense | 2.37/3.08/3.22 |
| 18/08/2424/25 | Moreirense | 3–1 | Arouca | 2.32/3.24/3.11 |
| 17/03/2423/24 | Moreirense | 1–0 | Arouca | 2.50/3.24/2.95 |
| 27/10/2323/24 | Arouca | 0–1 | Moreirense | 2.52/3.24/2.87 |
| 26/02/2221/22 | Arouca | 1–1 | Moreirense | 2.28/3.09/3.43 |
| 25/09/2121/22 | Moreirense | 2–1 | Arouca | 2.11/3.35/3.46 |
| 17/12/1616/17 | Moreirense | 1–4 | Arouca | 2.22/3.15/3.47 |
| 30/04/1716/17 | Arouca | 2–2 | Moreirense | 2.52/3.09/2.98 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Moreirense
Away Record: Arouca
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Arouca defeated Moreirense 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by Puche 67′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Moreirense had 49% possession while Arouca held 51%. Moreirense had 7 shots (2 on target) compared to 14 (2 on target) for Arouca. Expected goals: Moreirense 0.59 — Arouca 1.69. Moreirense made 4 substitutions, Arouca made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Moreirense and Arouca — 1 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Moreirense had 49% possession against Arouca's 51%. Moreirense registered 7 shots (2 on target) while Arouca managed 14 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 3–7. Fouls committed: 9–11.
Lineups
Moreirense lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under Vasco Costa, while Arouca deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Vasco Seabra.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Moreirense is 6.80, compared to 6.70 for Arouca. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Moreirense's highest-rated starter is André Ferreira (7.20), while Arouca's best-rated player is Javi Sánchez (6.92).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Moreirense have contributed 15 goals and 12 assists this season, led by Alan (4G). Arouca's starters account for 20 goals and 17 assists, spearheaded by Naïs Djouahra (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Moreirense deploy 4 defenders rated 6.82 on average, against Arouca's 4-man backline averaging 6.67. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Moreirense field 3 midfielders averaging 6.69, versus Arouca's 5 rated 6.75. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Moreirense start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.75, compared to 1 for Arouca averaging 6.42. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 80% for Moreirense and 81% for Arouca. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Moreirense's starters have collected 39 yellow cards this season, compared to 48 for Arouca. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Moreirense's starting XI is 24.2 (youngest: Leandro Santos (20), oldest: Maracás (31)), while Arouca average 25.5 (youngest: Taichi Fukui (21), oldest: Bas Kuipers (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Moreirense's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 22 for Arouca. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Vasco Costa
Substitutes
Coach: Vasco Seabra
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Moreirense have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Arouca show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Moreirense
Arouca
Moreirense vs Arouca Head to Head Results
Moreirense and Arouca have met 15 times — Moreirense won 8, Arouca won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Moreirense leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (19 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2016.
8
Moreirense
3
Drawn
4
Arouca
Recent Meetings (15)
API data: 22 Mar 2026