Primeira Liga · Season 2025
Match Events
assist: J. Marques
Match Statistics
Lineups
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Guimaraes is 6.84, compared to 6.66 for Casa Pia. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Guimaraes's highest-rated starter is F. Dias (7.30), while Casa Pia's best-rated player is P. Sequeira (6.83).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Guimaraes have contributed 19 goals and 17 assists this season, led by Samu (7G). Casa Pia's starters account for 8 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by G. Larrazabal (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Guimaraes deploy 4 defenders rated 6.97 on average, against Casa Pia's 3-man backline averaging 6.58. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Guimaraes field 5 midfielders averaging 6.79, versus Casa Pia's 4 rated 6.67. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Guimaraes start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.63, compared to 3 for Casa Pia averaging 6.67. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 81% for Guimaraes and 70% for Casa Pia. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Guimaraes's starters have collected 30 yellow cards this season, compared to 44 for Casa Pia. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Guimaraes's starting XI is 24.6 (youngest: M. Nogueira (20), oldest: Charles Silva (31)), while Casa Pia average 25.3 (youngest: Kaly (22), oldest: S. Perez (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Guimaraes's starters average 21 league appearances each, versus 19 for Casa Pia. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Gil Lameiras
Substitutes
Coach: Alvaro Pacheco
Match Summary
Casa Pia defeated Guimaraes 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by G. Larrazabal 86′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Guimaraes had 71% possession while Casa Pia held 29%. Guimaraes had 15 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (5 on target) for Casa Pia. Expected goals: Guimaraes 0.94 — Casa Pia 0.88. Guimaraes made 4 substitutions, Casa Pia made 5.
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Head to Head Results
8 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Match Prediction
Guimaraes
45%
Home win
45%
Draw
Casa Pia
10%
Away win
Model advice
Winner : Guimaraes
Bookmaker Odds
Best price
Guimaraes
1.75
Dafabet
Draw
4.14
1xBet
Casa Pia
4.75
Bet365
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
0.9
Average goals per game
0%
Games with 3+ goals
13%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Casa Pia.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Max | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2625/26 | Guimaraes | 0–1 | Casa Pia | 1.71/3.75/4.33 |
| 28/12/2525/26 | Casa Pia | 0–0 | Guimaraes | 3.36/3.03/2.27 |
| 01/03/2524/25 | Guimaraes | 1–0 | Casa Pia | 1.75/3.50/4.66 |
| 28/09/2424/25 | Casa Pia | 1–1 | Guimaraes | 3.95/3.22/2.01 |
| 24/02/2423/24 | Guimaraes | 0–2 | Casa Pia | 1.57/3.82/6.16 |
| 23/09/2323/24 | Casa Pia | 0–0 | Guimaraes | 2.35/3.12/3.08 |
| 19/02/2322/23 | Casa Pia | 0–0 | Guimaraes | 2.53/3.07/3.01 |
| 29/08/2222/23 | Guimaraes | 0–1 | Casa Pia | 2.01/3.34/3.88 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Guimaraes
Away Record: Casa Pia
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 17 May 2026