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Aberdeen vs ST Mirren

12 May 2026 at 19:45Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
02
Referee: D. Dickinson

Match Summary

ST Mirren defeated Aberdeen 2:0. The match was played in Premiership 2025. Goals were scored by R. King 42′, K. Phillips 80′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Aberdeen had 58% possession while ST Mirren held 42%. Aberdeen had 8 shots (1 on target) compared to 9 (5 on target) for ST Mirren. Expected goals: Aberdeen 0.52 — ST Mirren 1.46. Aberdeen made 5 substitutions, ST Mirren made 1.

Match Events

Key match events between Aberdeen and ST Mirren — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Match Statistics

Aberdeen had 58% possession against ST Mirren's 42%. Aberdeen registered 8 shots (1 on target) while ST Mirren managed 9 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–1. Fouls committed: 14–11.

Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Total Shots
8
9
Blocked Shots
3
1
Shots inside the Box
7
6
Shots outside the Box
1
3
Fouls
14
11
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
2
Ball Possession
58%
42%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
1
Total Passes
549
404
Accurate Passes
429
289
Pass Accuracy
78%
72%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
1.46
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.12
0.12

Lineups

Aberdeen lined up in a 3-4-1-2 formation under Peter Leven, while ST Mirren deployed a 3-1-4-2 under Craig McLeish.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Aberdeen is 6.72, compared to 6.82 for ST Mirren. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Aberdeen's highest-rated starter is P. Bratveit (6.92), while ST Mirren's best-rated player is M. Freckleton (7.10).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Aberdeen have contributed 16 goals and 7 assists this season, led by K. Nisbet (9G). ST Mirren's starters account for 18 goals and 9 assists, spearheaded by M. Freckleton (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Aberdeen deploy 3 defenders rated 6.71 on average, against ST Mirren's 3-man backline averaging 6.81. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Aberdeen field 4 midfielders averaging 6.75, versus ST Mirren's 5 rated 6.89. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Aberdeen start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.63, compared to 2 for ST Mirren averaging 6.71. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 75% for Aberdeen and 77% for ST Mirren. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Aberdeen's starters have collected 32 yellow cards this season, compared to 53 for ST Mirren. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Aberdeen's starting XI is 26.1 (youngest: M. Frame (19), oldest: N. Devlin (32)), while ST Mirren average 26.0 (youngest: J. Devaney (18), oldest: A. Gogic (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Aberdeen's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 27 for ST Mirren. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Aberdeen3-4-1-23-1-4-2ST Mirren
GKDEFMIDFWD
99Bratveit23Morrison5Knoester21Molloy2Devlin32Afeez18Palaver.3Frame8Geiger20Olusanya15Nisbet27Sinclair4Donnelly13Gogic22Fraser6O'Hara5King16Campbell8Devaney21Freckle.88Phillips9Mandron

Substitutes

Coach: Peter Leven

Substitutes

Coach: Craig McLeish

AberdeenPosition StrengthST Mirren
6.72
Avg Rating
6.82
6.92Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.74
0G 0A0G 0A
6.71Defender (3 v 3)6.81
1G 0A4G 1A
6.75Midfielder (4 v 5)6.89
3G 3A6G 3A
6.63Forward (3 v 2)6.71
12G 4A8G 5A
Aberdeen3-4-1-2
99GoalkeeperP. Bratveit6.9
23DefenderL. Morrison6.61G
5DefenderM. Knoester6.9
21DefenderG. Molloy6.6
2MidfielderN. Devlin6.71G
32MidfielderA. Afeez6.81G1A
18MidfielderA. Palaversa6.71A
3MidfielderM. Frame6.81G1A
8ForwardD. Geiger6.81G1A
20ForwardT. Olusanya6.52G2A
15ForwardK. Nisbet6.79G1A
ST Mirren3-1-4-2
27GoalkeeperR. Sinclair6.7
4DefenderL. Donnelly6.91G
13DefenderA. Gogic6.72G1A
22DefenderM. Fraser6.81G
6MidfielderM. O'Hara
5MidfielderR. King6.92G1A
16MidfielderA. Campbell6.8
8MidfielderJ. Devaney6.81A
21MidfielderM. Freckleton7.14G1A
88ForwardK. Phillips6.84G
9ForwardM. Mandron6.64G5A

Rivalry since 2010

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Head to Head Results· 47

Aberdeen and ST Mirren have met 47 times — Aberdeen won 17, ST Mirren won 15, with 15 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Aberdeen leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 47 meetings. A combined 123 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.62 per match (69 for the home side, 54 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 24 matches (51%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 26 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

17
wins
Drawn
15
·
15
wins
Total goals
123 · 2.6/match
Both scored
24/47 · 51%
Over 2.5
26/47 · 55%

Recent Meetings

04/04/26Premiership
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03/12/25Premiership
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18/10/25Premiership
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03/05/25Premiership
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25/01/25Premiership
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23/11/24Premiership
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11/08/24Premiership
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02/03/24Premiership
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30/12/23Premiership
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27/08/23Premiership
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Aberdeen have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. ST Mirren show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Aberdeen

LLWDWW

ST Mirren

WDDWLL

Match Prediction

Predicted winnerAberdeen

Aberdeen

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

ST Mirren

10%

Away win

Statistical tip

Double chance: Aberdeen or draw

77%Form23%
78%Attack22%
64%Defence36%
31%Goals69%
29%Head-to-head71%
57.3%Overall42.7%

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

Aberdeen

2.31

Pinnacle

Draw

3.50

Dafabet

ST Mirren

3.25

888Sport

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

ST Mirren dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Aberdeen2wins
2draws10 meetings
ST Mirren6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate ST Mirren.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 28.6%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.503.10
Max2.153.503.10
Over 2.5: 52.4%Under 2.5: 52.4%
Market favourite:Aberdeen · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

ST Mirren
Result vs. Market: Aberdeen (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AberdeenHalf-time:01ST Mirren
8Shots9
1Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

Aberdeen02St Mirren
12 May 202625/262.15/3.50/3.10
St Mirren20Aberdeen
4 Apr 202625/262.15/3.25/3.30
Aberdeen33St Mirren
3 Dec 202525/262.15/3.30/3.25
St Mirren01Aberdeen
18 Oct 202525/262.38/3.27/2.91
St Mirren10Aberdeen
3 May 202524/252.62/3.30/2.68
Aberdeen03St Mirren
25 Jan 202524/252.02/3.42/3.72
St Mirren21Aberdeen
23 Nov 202424/253.12/3.34/2.31
Aberdeen31St Mirren
11 Aug 202424/251.96/3.44/3.97
Aberdeen03St Mirren
30 Dec 202323/241.94/3.46/3.99
St Mirren22Aberdeen
27 Aug 202323/242.32/3.18/3.12

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Aberdeen

W 457D 285L 453
Over 2.548
Goals scored1496

Away Record: ST Mirren

W 170D 180L 325
Over 2.544
Goals scored645

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026