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Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh13 May 2026 at 20:00

Match Events

Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
Kick Off
F. Kent

assist: A. Kyziridis

29′
Half Time
H. MilneS. Kingsley
46′
46′
D. TaitR. MacIver
46′
K. WilsonB. Parkinson
56′
C. MillerE. Ross
C. DevlinJ. Altena
67′
75′
F. YeatsH. Cartwright
A. KyziridisS. Kerjota
83′
C. BragaP. Kabore
83′
B. Spittal

assist: M. Steinwender

86′
B. SpittalA. Forrest
90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots4
4Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox1
6Fouls17
5Corner Kicks5
2Offsides2
66%Ball Possession34%
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
456Total passes236
339Passes accurate143
74%Passes %61%
0.59expected_goals0.30
-1.07goals_prevented-1.07

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Heart Of Midlothian is 6.96, compared to 6.79 for Falkirk. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Heart Of Midlothian's highest-rated starter is H. Milne (7.28), while Falkirk's best-rated player is B. Spencer (7.07).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Heart Of Midlothian have contributed 45 goals and 25 assists this season, led by L. Shankland (16G). Falkirk's starters account for 22 goals and 16 assists, spearheaded by C. Miller (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Heart Of Midlothian deploy 4 defenders rated 7.06 on average, against Falkirk's 4-man backline averaging 6.81. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Heart Of Midlothian field 4 midfielders averaging 6.95, versus Falkirk's 5 rated 6.79. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Heart Of Midlothian start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.82, compared to 1 for Falkirk averaging 7.04. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 76% for Heart Of Midlothian and 75% for Falkirk. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Heart Of Midlothian's starters have collected 41 yellow cards this season, compared to 50 for Falkirk. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Heart Of Midlothian's starting XI is 28.4 (youngest: M. Steinwender (25), oldest: A. Schwolow (33)), while Falkirk average 24.8 (youngest: B. Broggio (18), oldest: C. Donaldson (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Heart Of Midlothian's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 24 for Falkirk. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Heart Of Midlothian4-4-24-1-4-1Falkirk
GKDEFMIDFWD
25Schwolow15Steinwe.2Kent19Findlay18Milne89Kyzirid.6Baningi.14Devlin16Spittal9Shankla.10Braga1Hogarth20Allan6Donalds.5Henders.42Hart8Spencer22Wilson14Yeats21Tait29Miller11Broggio

Substitutes

Coach: Derek McInnes

Substitutes

Coach: John McGlynn

Heart Of MidlothianPosition StrengthFalkirk
6.96
Avg Rating
6.79
6.90Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.44
0G 0A0G 0A
7.06Defender (4 v 4)6.81
7G 9A2G 1A
6.95Midfielder (4 v 5)6.79
8G 10A15G 13A
6.82Forward (2 v 1)7.04
30G 6A5G 2A
Heart Of Midlothian4-4-2
25GoalkeeperA. Schwolow6.9
15DefenderM. Steinwender6.82A
2DefenderF. Kent7.01G
19DefenderS. Findlay7.25G1A
18DefenderH. Milne7.31G6A
89MidfielderA. Kyziridis7.04G7A
6MidfielderB. Baningime6.71A
14MidfielderC. Devlin7.22G
16MidfielderB. Spittal6.92G2A
9ForwardL. Shankland7.016G3A
10ForwardC. Braga6.714G3A
Falkirk4-1-4-1
1GoalkeeperN. Hogarth6.4
20DefenderC. Allan6.91G
6DefenderC. Donaldson6.91A
5DefenderL. Henderson6.91G
42DefenderS. Hart6.6
8MidfielderB. Spencer7.12A
22MidfielderK. Wilson6.63G1A
14MidfielderF. Yeats6.62G
21MidfielderD. Tait6.83G1A
29MidfielderC. Miller6.87G9A
11ForwardB. Broggio7.05G2A

Match Summary

Heart Of Midlothian defeated Falkirk 3:0. The match was played in Premiership 2025. Goals were scored by F. Kent 29′, C. Devlin 34′, B. Spittal 86′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Heart Of Midlothian had 66% possession while Falkirk held 34%. Heart Of Midlothian had 12 shots (4 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Falkirk. Expected goals: Heart Of Midlothian 0.59 — Falkirk 0.30. Heart Of Midlothian made 5 substitutions, Falkirk made 4.

Rivalry since 2014

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk Head to Head Results

10 stretnutí
Heart Of Midlothian
8
wins
Drawn
0
Falkirk
2
wins
Total goals
29 · 2.9/match
Both scored
3/10 · 30%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Form

Heart Of Midlothian

LWDWWW

Falkirk

LLLWLD

Match Prediction

Heart Of Midlothian

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Falkirk

10%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Heart Of Midlothian or draw

65%Form35%
53%Attack47%
70%Defence30%
60%Head-to-head40%

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

Heart Of Midlothian

1.45

Dafabet

Draw

5.06

Pinnacle

Falkirk

8.75

Betano

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Heart Of Midlothian dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Heart Of Midlothian7wins
1draws10 meetings
Falkirk2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (83%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (66%) — the odds may underestimate Heart Of Midlothian.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 70.9%Draw 21.1%Away 15.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.414.756.50
Max1.414.756.50
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Heart Of Midlothian · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Heart Of Midlothian
Result vs. Market: Heart Of Midlothian (71%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Heart Of MidlothianHalf-time:20Falkirk
12Shots4
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
13/05/26Heart Of Midlothian3–0Falkirk1.41/4.75/6.50
21/02/26Heart Of Midlothian1–0Falkirk1.62/3.60/5.50
13/12/25Falkirk0–2Heart Of Midlothian4.33/3.60/1.76
27/09/25Heart Of Midlothian3–0Falkirk1.58/4.23/5.08
30/03/96Falkirk0–2Heart Of Midlothian
13/01/96Heart Of Midlothian2–1Falkirk
28/10/95Falkirk2–0Heart Of Midlothian
09/09/95Heart Of Midlothian4–1Falkirk
03/12/94Heart Of Midlothian1–1Falkirk
01/10/94Falkirk2–1Heart Of Midlothian

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heart Of Midlothian

W 452D 274L 393
Over 2.548
Goals scored1507

Away Record: Falkirk

W 83D 73L 143
Over 2.548
Goals scored324

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026