20 May 2018 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
38%
Games with 3+ goals
75%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Osasuna.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.24 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 42.9% | 29.1% | 28.0% |
| Public market | 41.8% | 31.3% | 26.9% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Numancia vs Osasuna — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/1918/19 | Numancia | 1–1 | Osasuna | 2.83/2.93/2.77 |
| 30/09/1818/19 | Osasuna | 0–0 | Numancia | 1.98/3.15/4.27 |
| 16/12/1717/18 | Osasuna | 2–2 | Numancia | 2.05/3.07/4.06 |
| 20/05/1817/18 | Numancia | 1–1 | Osasuna | 2.26/3.10/3.38 |
| 19/12/1515/16 | Numancia | 1–3 | Osasuna | 2.22/3.09/3.51 |
| 22/05/1615/16 | Osasuna | 3–2 | Numancia | 1.89/3.32/4.39 |
| 08/11/1414/15 | Numancia | 0–0 | Osasuna | 2.08/3.30/3.58 |
| 12/04/1514/15 | Osasuna | 1–1 | Numancia | 2.20/3.19/3.43 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Numancia
Away Record: Osasuna
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Numancia and Osasuna drew 1:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2017. Goals were scored by Quique 65′, Higinio Marín 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Numancia had 48% possession while Osasuna held 52%. Numancia had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Osasuna. Numancia made 3 substitutions, Osasuna made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Numancia and Osasuna — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Fran Mérida
assist: Iñigo Pérez
Match Statistics
Numancia had 48% possession against Osasuna's 52%. Numancia registered 14 shots (5 on target) while Osasuna managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 7–4. Fouls committed: 17–16.
Lineups
Numancia lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Arrasate, while Osasuna deployed a 4-4-1-1 under Diego Martínez.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Numancia is 6.50, compared to 6.92 for Osasuna. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Numancia's highest-rated starter is Carlos Gutiérrez (6.50), while Osasuna's best-rated player is Sergio Herrera (7.07).
Defensive Solidity
Numancia deploy 3 defenders rated 6.50 on average, against Osasuna's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Numancia field 6 midfielders averaging —, versus Osasuna's 4 rated 6.77. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Numancia start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Osasuna averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 83% for Numancia and 72% for Osasuna. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Numancia's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 9 for Osasuna. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Numancia's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34), oldest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34)), while Osasuna average 31.5 (youngest: Lucas Torró (31), oldest: Sergio Herrera (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Numancia's starters average 1 league appearances each, versus 31 for Osasuna. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Arrasate
Substitutes
Coach: Diego Martínez
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Numancia have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Osasuna show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Numancia
Osasuna
API data: 17 Apr 2026