28 February 2020 at 20:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Malaga.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.37 | 2.75 | 3.30 |
| Max | 2.48 | 2.90 | 3.48 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 38.8% | 33.6% | 27.6% |
| Public market | 39.4% | 32.2% | 28.3% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Las Palmas vs Malaga — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2625/26 | Malaga | 2–0 | Las Palmas | 2.25/3.20/3.20 |
| 31/08/2525/26 | Las Palmas | 0–1 | Malaga | 1.77/3.52/4.64 |
| 11/03/2322/23 | Las Palmas | 2–2 | Malaga | 1.56/3.85/7.11 |
| 22/08/2222/23 | Malaga | 0–4 | Las Palmas | 2.71/3.04/2.88 |
| 29/04/2221/22 | Las Palmas | 2–1 | Malaga | 1.69/3.72/5.44 |
| 20/11/2121/22 | Malaga | 2–1 | Las Palmas | 2.65/2.98/2.91 |
| 17/04/2120/21 | Las Palmas | 1–1 | Malaga | 2.36/2.98/3.37 |
| 11/10/2020/21 | Malaga | 0–0 | Las Palmas | 2.57/3.05/2.98 |
| 28/02/2019/20 | Las Palmas | 1–1 | Malaga | 2.42/2.84/3.39 |
| 24/08/1919/20 | Malaga | 1–1 | Las Palmas | 1.90/3.22/4.34 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Las Palmas
Away Record: Malaga
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Las Palmas and Malaga drew 1:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2019. Goals were scored by Éric Curbelo 48′, Lombán 66′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Las Palmas had 50% possession while Malaga held 50%. Las Palmas had 12 shots (7 on target) compared to 15 (4 on target) for Malaga. Las Palmas made 3 substitutions, Malaga made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Las Palmas and Malaga — 2 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Aridai Cabrera
assist: Dani Pacheco
Match Statistics
Las Palmas had 50% possession against Malaga's 50%. Las Palmas registered 12 shots (7 on target) while Malaga managed 15 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 14–16.
Lineups
Las Palmas lined up in a 4-4-1-1 formation under Pepe Mel, while Malaga deployed a 4-4-1-1 under Sergio Pellicer.
Defensive Solidity
Las Palmas deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Malaga's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Las Palmas field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Malaga's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Las Palmas start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Malaga averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: Pepe Mel
Substitutes
Coach: Sergio Pellicer
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Las Palmas have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Malaga show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas vs Malaga Head to Head Results
Las Palmas and Malaga have met 17 times — Las Palmas won 6, Malaga won 5, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Las Palmas leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.24 per match (20 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Malaga are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2016.
6
Las Palmas
6
Drawn
5
Malaga
Recent Meetings (17)
API data: 17 Apr 2026