12 July 2020 at 17:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.8
Average goals per game
20%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Numancia.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.35 | 2.87 | 3.30 |
| Max | 2.47 | 2.90 | 3.46 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 38.9% | 33.3% | 27.8% |
| Public market | 39.6% | 32.7% | 27.6% |
Numancia vs Ponferradina — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2019/20 | Numancia | 1–0 | Ponferradina | 2.40/2.89/3.39 |
| 19/10/1919/20 | Ponferradina | 1–1 | Numancia | 2.03/3.16/4.04 |
| 03/10/1515/16 | Numancia | 1–0 | Ponferradina | 2.22/3.14/3.46 |
| 06/03/1615/16 | Ponferradina | 1–0 | Numancia | 2.64/3.11/2.80 |
| 13/09/1414/15 | Numancia | 1–3 | Ponferradina | 2.32/3.12/3.26 |
| 15/02/1514/15 | Ponferradina | 1–2 | Numancia | 2.12/3.16/3.69 |
| 14/12/1313/14 | Numancia | 2–0 | Ponferradina | 2.15/3.29/3.42 |
| 18/05/1413/14 | Ponferradina | 0–1 | Numancia | 2.12/3.25/3.57 |
| 16/12/1212/13 | Numancia | 0–1 | Ponferradina | 2.21/3.16/3.42 |
| 18/05/1312/13 | Ponferradina | 1–1 | Numancia | 1.84/3.41/4.46 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Numancia
Away Record: Ponferradina
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Numancia defeated Ponferradina 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2019. Goals were scored by I. Zlatanović 85′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Numancia had 56% possession while Ponferradina held 44%. Numancia had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 10 (5 on target) for Ponferradina. Numancia made 4 substitutions, Ponferradina made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Numancia and Ponferradina — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Alberto Escassi
Match Statistics
Numancia had 56% possession against Ponferradina's 44%. Numancia registered 11 shots (4 on target) while Ponferradina managed 10 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–2. Fouls committed: 18–23.
Lineups
Numancia lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Luis Carrión, while Ponferradina deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Bolo.
Defensive Solidity
Numancia deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Ponferradina's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Numancia field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Ponferradina's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Numancia start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Ponferradina averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: Luis Carrión
Substitutes
Coach: Bolo
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Numancia have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Ponferradina show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Numancia
Ponferradina
API data: 17 Apr 2026