26 September 2020 at 16:15
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Malaga dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.6
Average goals per game
13%
Games with 3+ goals
13%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Malaga.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.55 | 2.82 | 3.10 |
| Max | 2.77 | 2.90 | 3.21 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 35.1% | 34.5% | 30.3% |
| Public market | 37.0% | 32.5% | 30.4% |
| Δ | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Malaga vs Alcorcon — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2221/22 | Alcorcon | 0–1 | Malaga | 2.58/2.97/2.94 |
| 27/08/2121/22 | Malaga | 1–0 | Alcorcon | 2.26/2.89/3.73 |
| 30/01/2120/21 | Alcorcon | 0–1 | Malaga | 2.37/2.85/3.54 |
| 26/09/2020/21 | Malaga | 1–0 | Alcorcon | 2.66/2.86/3.16 |
| 17/07/2019/20 | Malaga | 2–0 | Alcorcon | 2.42/2.88/3.35 |
| 17/11/1919/20 | Alcorcon | 1–0 | Malaga | 1.71/3.34/5.81 |
| 19/04/1918/19 | Alcorcon | 1–4 | Malaga | 2.78/2.71/3.04 |
| 24/08/1818/19 | Malaga | 1–0 | Alcorcon | 1.76/3.41/5.14 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Malaga
Away Record: Alcorcon
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Malaga defeated Alcorcon 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2020. Goals were scored by Cristian Rodríguez 43′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Malaga had 49% possession while Alcorcon held 51%. Malaga had 8 shots (1 on target) compared to 5 (2 on target) for Alcorcon. Malaga made 3 substitutions, Alcorcon made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Malaga and Alcorcon — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: José Matos
Match Statistics
Malaga had 49% possession against Alcorcon's 51%. Malaga registered 8 shots (1 on target) while Alcorcon managed 5 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 3–0. Fouls committed: 15–19.
Lineups
Malaga lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under Sergio Pellicer, while Alcorcon deployed a 4-4-2 under Mere.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Malaga is 6.80, compared to — for Alcorcon. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Malaga's highest-rated starter is Ramón Enríquez (6.80), while Alcorcon's best-rated player is —.
Defensive Solidity
Malaga deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Alcorcon's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Malaga field 4 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Alcorcon's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Malaga start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Alcorcon averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 93% for Malaga and —% for Alcorcon. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Age & Experience
The average age of Malaga's starting XI is 24.0 (youngest: Ramón Enríquez (24), oldest: Ramón Enríquez (24)), while Alcorcon average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Malaga's starters average 3 league appearances each, versus 0 for Alcorcon. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Sergio Pellicer
Substitutes
Coach: Mere
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Malaga have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Alcorcon show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Malaga
Alcorcon
API data: 17 Apr 2026