30 May 2021 at 19:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Malaga dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
44%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Malaga.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Max | 2.17 | 3.22 | 3.81 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 44.6% | 30.0% | 25.4% |
| Public market | 44.4% | 31.1% | 24.5% |
| Δ | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
Malaga vs Castellón — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2525/26 | Castellon | 2–1 | Malaga | 1.66/3.90/4.50 |
| 27/04/2524/25 | Malaga | 1–0 | Castellon | 2.88/3.21/2.50 |
| 01/12/2424/25 | Castellon | 2–0 | Malaga | 1.95/3.28/4.16 |
| 21/01/0706/07 | Malaga | 0–0 | Castellon | 1.90/2.94/3.96 |
| 30/05/2120/21 | Malaga | 3–0 | Castellon | 2.14/3.07/3.70 |
| 19/09/2020/21 | Castellon | 0–1 | Malaga | 2.31/2.79/3.75 |
| 17/02/0807/08 | Malaga | 3–1 | Castellon | 1.88/3.00/4.11 |
| 16/09/0707/08 | Castellon | 2–3 | Malaga | 2.48/2.96/2.69 |
| 16/06/0706/07 | Castellon | 0–1 | Malaga | 1.84/3.14/3.93 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Malaga
Away Record: Castellón
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Malaga defeated Castellón 3:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2020. Goals were scored by C. Quintana 42′, S. Scepovic 66′, S. Scepovic 86′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Malaga had 47% possession while Castellón held 53%. Malaga had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 9 (2 on target) for Castellón. Malaga made 4 substitutions, Castellón made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Malaga and Castellón — 3 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Matos Jose
Match Statistics
Malaga had 47% possession against Castellón's 53%. Malaga registered 14 shots (5 on target) while Castellón managed 9 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–2. Fouls committed: 10–10.
Lineups
Malaga lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation, while Castellón deployed a 4-4-2.
Defensive Solidity
Malaga deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Castellón's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Malaga field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Castellón's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Malaga start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Castellón averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Substitutes
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Malaga have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Castellón show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Malaga
Castellón
Malaga vs Castellón Head to Head Results
Malaga and Castellón have met 6 times — Malaga won 2, Castellón won 4, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Castellón leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 11 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.83 per match (4 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2025.
2
Malaga
0
Drawn
4
Castellón
Recent Meetings (6)
API data: 17 Apr 2026