21 May 2022 at 20:00

11
Full Time

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Almeria2wins
6draws10 meetings
Alcorcon2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.4

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (78%) — the odds may underestimate Alcorcon.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 78.7%Draw 17.2%Away 8.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.244.7510.00
Max1.326.5013.60
Over 2.5: 62.5%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Almeria · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market77.5%15.4%7.1%
Public market76.6%14.7%8.7%
Δ1.0%0.7%1.6%

Almeria vs Alcorcon — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Almeria (79%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlmeriaHalf-time:00Alcorcon
14Shots10
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/05/22Almeria1–1Alcorcon1.27/5.83/11.53
17/09/21Alcorcon0–4Almeria3.35/3.03/2.34
15/03/21Almeria0–0Alcorcon1.83/3.19/5.10
06/12/20Alcorcon0–1Almeria3.10/2.80/2.72
25/06/20Almeria0–1Alcorcon1.84/3.24/4.82
19/10/19Alcorcon2–2Almeria2.40/2.98/3.29
26/05/19Almeria0–0Alcorcon2.54/3.01/3.02
13/01/19Alcorcon0–0Almeria1.95/3.03/4.64
22/12/17Alcorcon2–0Almeria1.95/3.06/4.51
27/05/18Almeria0–0Alcorcon2.07/2.90/4.28

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Almeria

W 279D 201L 223
Over 2.547
Goals scored944

Away Record: Alcorcon

W 186D 152L 208
Over 2.536
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Almeria and Alcorcon drew 1:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2021. Goals were scored by G. Zarfino 81′, Arnau Puigmal 90′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Almeria had 63% possession while Alcorcon held 37%. Almeria had 15 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (6 on target) for Alcorcon. Almeria made 5 substitutions, Alcorcon made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Almeria and Alcorcon — 2 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Almeria
Alcorcon
Kick Off
45+2′José Carlos Ramírez
Half Time
Samú CostaArnau Puigmal
46′
54′
Hugo FraileÁlex Mula
54′
Luis ValcarceLaure
José Carlos LazoA. Appiah
60′
L. RobertonePortillo
68′
L. RamazaniCurro Sánchez
69′
69′
Iván CaleroBorja Valle
70′
E. ApehDavid Forniés
80′
Roberto OlabeJ. Valencia
81′
G. Zarfino

assist: Borja Valle

Rodrigo ElyDyego Sousa
82′
César de la Hoz90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Almeria had 63% possession against Alcorcon's 37%. Almeria registered 15 shots (3 on target) while Alcorcon managed 10 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 9–4. Fouls committed: 11–9.

3Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls9
9Corner Kicks4
2Offsides5
63%Ball Possession37%
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
484Total passes290
395Passes accurate213
82%Passes %73%

Lineups

Almeria lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Rubí, while Alcorcon deployed a 4-1-4-1 under Fran Fernández.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Almeria is 6.52, compared to — for Alcorcon. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Almeria's highest-rated starter is Rodrigo Ely (6.73), while Alcorcon's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Almeria deploy 4 defenders rated 6.73 on average, against Alcorcon's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Almeria field 5 midfielders averaging 6.30, versus Alcorcon's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Almeria start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Alcorcon averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 73% for Almeria and —% for Alcorcon. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Almeria's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Alcorcon. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Almeria's starting XI is 31.7 (youngest: L. Robertone (28), oldest: Fernando Martínez (35)), while Alcorcon average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Almeria's starters average 3 league appearances each, versus 0 for Alcorcon. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Almeria4-2-3-14-1-4-1Alcorcon
GKDEFMIDFWD
13Martínez19Ely22Babić15Akieme6Hoz16Lazo17Pozo5Roberto.30Costa9Sadiq32Ramazani31Ruiz20Calero21Valcarce3Carlos35Rivas10Fraile25Jurado5Olabe12Zarfino11Apeh22Óscar

Substitutes

Coach: Rubí

Substitutes

Coach: Fran Fernández

AlmeriaPosition StrengthAlcorcon
6.52
Avg Rating
6.73Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.30Midfielder (5 v 5)
0G 0A0G 0A
Almeria4-2-3-1
13GoalkeeperFernando Martínez
19DefenderRodrigo Ely6.7
22DefenderS. Babić
15DefenderSergio Akieme
17DefenderAlejandro Pozo
6MidfielderCésar de la Hoz
16MidfielderJosé Carlos Lazo
5MidfielderL. Robertone6.3
30MidfielderSamú Costa
32MidfielderL. Ramazani
9ForwardU. Sadiq
Alcorcon4-1-4-1
31GoalkeeperChus Ruiz
20DefenderIván Calero
21DefenderLuis Valcarce
3DefenderJosé Carlos
35DefenderÓscar Rivas
10MidfielderHugo Fraile
25MidfielderJosé Jurado
5MidfielderRoberto Olabe
12MidfielderG. Zarfino
22MidfielderÓscar
11ForwardE. Apeh

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Almeria have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Alcorcon show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Almeria

WLWLWW

Alcorcon

LLWDWD
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 Apr 2026