20 May 2023 at 16:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Huesca dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.7
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (22%) — the odds may underestimate Lugo.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 4.20 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
| Max | 4.45 | 3.15 | 2.03 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 21.7% | 30.7% | 47.6% |
| Public market | 22.4% | 30.4% | 47.1% |
Lugo vs Huesca — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2322/23 | Lugo | 1–2 | Huesca | 4.33/3.13/2.01 |
| 08/10/2222/23 | Huesca | 1–1 | Lugo | 1.73/3.60/5.29 |
| 20/02/2221/22 | Huesca | 1–0 | Lugo | 1.85/3.37/4.58 |
| 13/09/2121/22 | Lugo | 3–2 | Huesca | 3.75/2.94/2.20 |
| 25/01/2019/20 | Huesca | 2–1 | Lugo | 1.44/4.06/8.45 |
| 19/10/1919/20 | Lugo | 3–2 | Huesca | 3.04/3.13/2.44 |
| 17/12/1717/18 | Huesca | 3–0 | Lugo | 1.88/3.22/4.64 |
| 21/05/1817/18 | Lugo | 0–2 | Huesca | 4.27/3.22/1.93 |
| 17/12/1616/17 | Lugo | 1–1 | Huesca | 2.08/3.27/3.73 |
| 27/05/1716/17 | Huesca | 1–0 | Lugo | 1.83/3.43/4.56 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Lugo
Away Record: Huesca
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Huesca defeated Lugo 2:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2022. Goals were scored by Javi Martínez 48′, S. Obeng 50′, Sebas Moyano 72′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Lugo had 52% possession while Huesca held 48%. Lugo had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 12 (4 on target) for Huesca. Lugo made 5 substitutions, Huesca made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Lugo and Huesca — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: E. Lombardo
assist: I. Thiam
Match Statistics
Lugo had 52% possession against Huesca's 48%. Lugo registered 8 shots (3 on target) while Huesca managed 12 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 13–14.
Lineups
Lugo lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under Íñigo Vélez, while Huesca deployed a 3-4-2-1 under José Ángel Ziganda.
Defensive Solidity
Lugo deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Huesca's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Lugo field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Huesca's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Lugo start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Huesca averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: Íñigo Vélez
Substitutes
Coach: José Ángel Ziganda
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Lugo have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Huesca show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Lugo
Huesca
API data: 17 Apr 2026