11 May 2025 at 16:30

10
Full Time
Referee: Iosu Galech

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Eldense1wins
0draws2 meetings
Malaga1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Eldense.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.5%Draw 26.9%Away 21.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.694.74
Max1.753.754.75
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Eldense · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.2%25.7%20.0%
Public market54.8%25.3%20.0%

Eldense vs Malaga — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Eldense
Result vs. Market: Eldense (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

EldenseHalf-time:00Malaga
17Shots5
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/05/25Eldense1–0Malaga1.74/3.72/4.75
18/12/24Malaga3–0Eldense2.26/3.02/3.43

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Eldense

W 23D 26L 35
Over 2.543
Goals scored90

Away Record: Malaga

W 152D 132L 129
Over 2.539
Goals scored475

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Eldense defeated Malaga 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2024. Goals were scored by Juanto 62′. 2 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Eldense had 55% possession while Malaga held 45%. Eldense had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Malaga. Eldense made 5 substitutions, Malaga made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Eldense and Malaga — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Eldense
Malaga
Kick Off
31′
Antoñito CorderoÁlex Pastor
Half Time
Fran GámezJuanto
46′
Juanto

assist: Sergio Ortuño

62′
67′
Diego MurilloPuga
67′
Izan MerinoManu Molina
67′
Julen LobeteDioni
Diego ColladoRaúl Parra
71′
Javi LlabrésIván Chapela
79′
S. GassamaFede Vico
79′
84′
David LarrubiaRafa Rodríguez
Sergio OrtuñoÁlex Bernal
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Eldense had 55% possession against Malaga's 45%. Eldense registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Malaga managed 5 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 24–6.

5Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots5
3Blocked Shots1
15Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox0
24Fouls6
5Corner Kicks3
2Offsides2
55%Ball Possession45%
2Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
382Total passes336
319Passes accurate241
84%Passes %72%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Eldense lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under José Luis Oltra, while Malaga deployed a 4-4-2 under Sergio Pellicer.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Eldense is —, compared to 6.93 for Malaga. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Eldense's highest-rated starter is —, while Malaga's best-rated player is David Larrubia (7.35).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Eldense have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Malaga's starters account for 31 goals and 11 assists, spearheaded by Chupe (16G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Eldense deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Malaga's 4-man backline averaging 6.84. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Eldense field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Malaga's 4 rated 6.79. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Eldense start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Malaga averaging 7.16. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Eldense and 79% for Malaga. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Eldense's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 27 for Malaga. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Eldense's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Malaga average 25.8 (youngest: Izan Merino (19), oldest: Luismi (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Eldense's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 25 for Malaga. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Eldense4-4-24-4-2Malaga
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Martín15Gámez4Đumić26Barzić23Mateu17García8Ortuño12Diawara10Llabrés22Gassama25Collado1Herrero16Murillo20Monte4Galilea18Sánchez26Cordero29Merino19Luismi24Lobete10Larrubia27Chupe

Substitutes

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Substitutes

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

EldensePosition StrengthMalaga
Avg Rating
6.93
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.13
0G 0A0G 0A
Defender (4 v 4)6.84
0G 0A4G 1A
Midfielder (4 v 4)6.79
0G 0A2G 4A
Forward (2 v 2)7.16
0G 0A25G 6A
Eldense4-4-2
1GoalkeeperDani Martín
15DefenderFran Gámez
4DefenderD. Đumić
26DefenderM. Barzić
23DefenderMarc Mateu
17MidfielderVíctor García
8MidfielderSergio Ortuño
12MidfielderA. Diawara
10MidfielderJavi Llabrés
22ForwardS. Gassama
25ForwardDiego Collado
Malaga4-4-2
1GoalkeeperAlfonso Herrero7.1
16DefenderDiego Murillo7.12G
20DefenderNélson Monte
4DefenderEinar Galilea6.92G
18DefenderDani Sánchez6.51A
26MidfielderAntoñito Cordero
29MidfielderIzan Merino6.81A
19MidfielderLuismi6.9
24MidfielderJulen Lobete6.72G3A
10ForwardDavid Larrubia7.39G3A
27ForwardChupe7.016G3A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Eldense have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Malaga show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Eldense

WWWWWW

Malaga

LWDDDW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 Apr 2026