17 May 2025 at 14:15
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.2
Average goals per game
10%
Games with 3+ goals
10%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Eibar.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.98 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| Max | 2.00 | 3.12 | 4.29 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 47.7% | 30.3% | 22.0% |
| Public market | 47.1% | 30.4% | 22.4% |
Eibar vs Burgos — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2625/26 | Eibar | 0–0 | Burgos | 2.01/3.10/4.10 |
| 10/01/2625/26 | Burgos | 1–0 | Eibar | 2.62/2.83/3.10 |
| 17/05/2524/25 | Eibar | 1–0 | Burgos | 1.99/3.11/4.25 |
| 23/11/2424/25 | Burgos | 1–0 | Eibar | 2.37/2.97/3.28 |
| 10/03/2423/24 | Eibar | 0–1 | Burgos | 1.75/3.51/5.40 |
| 09/09/2323/24 | Burgos | 1–0 | Eibar | 2.94/2.93/2.60 |
| 11/03/2322/23 | Eibar | 1–0 | Burgos | 1.77/3.23/5.88 |
| 08/12/2222/23 | Burgos | 1–2 | Eibar | 3.17/2.89/2.54 |
| 27/02/2221/22 | Eibar | 2–0 | Burgos | 1.65/3.58/6.17 |
| 29/08/2121/22 | Burgos | 0–1 | Eibar | 3.46/2.99/2.31 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Eibar
Away Record: Burgos
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Eibar defeated Burgos 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2024. Goals were scored by José Corpas 37′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Eibar had 49% possession while Burgos held 51%. Eibar had 9 shots (5 on target) compared to 5 (2 on target) for Burgos. Eibar made 5 substitutions, Burgos made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Eibar and Burgos — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Match Statistics
Eibar had 49% possession against Burgos's 51%. Eibar registered 9 shots (5 on target) while Burgos managed 5 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 3–1. Fouls committed: 20–10.
Lineups
Eibar lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Beñat San José, while Burgos deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Luis Miguel Ramis.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Eibar is 6.86, compared to 6.93 for Burgos. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Eibar's highest-rated starter is Anaitz Arbilla (7.14), while Burgos's best-rated player is Ander Cantero (7.16).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Eibar have contributed 13 goals and 13 assists this season, led by Anaitz Arbilla (4G). Burgos's starters account for 25 goals and 17 assists, spearheaded by David González (9G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Eibar deploy 4 defenders rated 6.90 on average, against Burgos's 4-man backline averaging 6.86. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Eibar field 5 midfielders averaging 6.86, versus Burgos's 5 rated 6.94. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Eibar start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.55, compared to 1 for Burgos averaging 6.93. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 77% for Eibar and 78% for Burgos. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Eibar's starters have collected 36 yellow cards this season, compared to 58 for Burgos. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Eibar's starting XI is 29.8 (youngest: Jonmi Magunagoitia (25), oldest: Anaitz Arbilla (38)), while Burgos average 27.3 (youngest: David González (23), oldest: Grego Sierra (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Eibar's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 30 for Burgos. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Beñat San José
Substitutes
Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Eibar have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats. Burgos show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Eibar
Burgos
Eibar vs Burgos Head to Head Results
Eibar and Burgos have met 10 times — Eibar won 4, Burgos won 5, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Burgos leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 12 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.20 per match (6 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (10%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (10%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Burgos are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2022.
4
Eibar
1
Drawn
5
Burgos
Recent Meetings (10)
API data: 17 Apr 2026