Segunda División · Season 2025
Match Events
assist: Curro
assist: A. Embarba
Penalty
Match Statistics
Match Summary
Burgos defeated Almeria 2:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2025. Goals were scored by I. Morante 39′, Thalys 45′, Curro 58′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown. Almeria had 65% possession while Burgos held 35%. Almeria had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Burgos. Almeria made 5 substitutions, Burgos made 5.
Recent Form
Almeria
Burgos
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Almeria dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Almeria.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.68 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Max | 1.74 | 3.71 | 4.78 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 54.6% | 25.6% | 19.9% |
| Public market | 54.3% | 25.4% | 20.3% |
Almeria vs Burgos — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Almeria
Away Record: Burgos
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 15 Mar 2026