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Numancia vs Almeria

Los Pajaritos, Soria3 December 2016 at 17:15
10
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias

Match Events

Numancia
Almeria
Kick Off
Marc Mateu
4′
Half Time
46′
Fran VélezCorona
53′
Antonio PuertasJuanjo Expósito
J. ÁlvarezCarlos Gutiérrez
73′
77′
FidelIago Díaz
Manu del MoralJairo Morilla
83′
Marc MateuEneko Capilla
90+1′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
14Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls16
3Corner Kicks5
3Offsides1
36%Ball Possession64%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
252Total passes445
164Passes accurate344
65%Passes %77%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Numancia deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Almeria's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Numancia field 6 midfielders averaging —, versus Almeria's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Numancia start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Almeria averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Numancia4-2-3-14-2-3-1Almeria
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Munir22Orfila24Callens10Álvarez6Pérez21Mateu8Escassi19Galarre.14Valcarce20Valcarce7Moral13Casto21Nano3Vélez4Navarro14Trujillo16Fidel20Jurado17Puertas10Pozo26Fernánd.9Quique

Substitutes

Coach: Arrasate

Substitutes

Coach: Soriano

NumanciaPosition StrengthAlmeria
Numancia4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperMunir
22DefenderOrfila
24DefenderA. Callens
14DefenderLuis Valcarce
10MidfielderJ. Álvarez
6MidfielderIñigo Pérez
21MidfielderMarc Mateu
8MidfielderAlberto Escassi
19MidfielderRuiz de Galarreta
20MidfielderPablo Valcarce
7ForwardManu del Moral
Almeria4-2-3-1
13GoalkeeperCasto
21DefenderNano
3DefenderFran Vélez
4DefenderXimo Navarro
14DefenderÁngel Trujillo
26DefenderJoaquín Fernández
16MidfielderFidel
20MidfielderJosé Jurado
17MidfielderAntonio Puertas
10ForwardJosé Ángel Pozo
9ForwardQuique

Match Summary

Numancia defeated Almeria 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2016. Goals were scored by Marc Mateu 4′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Numancia had 36% possession while Almeria held 64%. Numancia had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Almeria. Numancia made 3 substitutions, Almeria made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Numancia vs Almeria Head to Head Results

8 stretnutí
Numancia
1
wins
Drawn
2
Almeria
5
wins
Total goals
13 · 1.6/match
Both scored
2/8 · 25%
Over 2.5
1/8 · 13%

Recent Form

Numancia

WDWWDD

Almeria

WWWLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Numancia3wins
3draws10 meetings
Almeria4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Numancia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.4%Draw 30.8%Away 26.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.203.60
Max2.103.304.11
Market favourite:Numancia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.4%30.0%23.7%
Public market45.6%28.4%26.0%
Δ0.7%1.6%2.3%

Numancia vs Almeria — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Numancia
Result vs. Market: Numancia (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NumanciaHalf-time:10Almeria

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/02/20Numancia1–1Almeria2.49/2.96/3.17
24/11/19Almeria2–0Numancia1.75/3.44/5.10
10/02/19Almeria1–0Numancia2.18/3.05/3.75
23/09/18Numancia0–2Almeria1.91/3.22/4.39
02/09/17Numancia1–0Almeria2.05/3.20/3.93
28/01/18Almeria0–0Numancia2.56/3.02/2.94
03/12/16Numancia1–0Almeria2.07/3.25/3.77
13/05/17Almeria2–0Numancia1.99/3.05/4.38
28/11/15Almeria1–1Numancia2.30/3.24/3.20
30/04/16Numancia2–0Almeria2.30/3.14/3.29

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Numancia

W 283D 254L 261
Over 2.542
Goals scored972

Away Record: Almeria

W 282D 201L 223
Over 2.547
Goals scored955

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026