Segunda División · Season 2016
Match Events
Penalty
Match Statistics
Lineups
Defensive Solidity
Rayo Vallecano deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Lugo's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Rayo Vallecano field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Lugo's 6 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Rayo Vallecano start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Lugo averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: Míchel
Substitutes
Coach: Luis César
Match Summary
Rayo Vallecano defeated Lugo 2:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2016. Goals were scored by Javi Guerra 67′ (pen.), Manucho Gonçalves 79′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Rayo Vallecano had 49% possession while Lugo held 51%. Rayo Vallecano had 25 shots (10 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Lugo. Rayo Vallecano made 3 substitutions, Lugo made 3.
Rayo Vallecano vs Lugo Head to Head Results
7 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
Lugo
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.4
Average goals per game
13%
Games with 3+ goals
13%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Rayo Vallecano.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.75 | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| Max | 1.83 | 3.56 | 5.04 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 53.3% | 27.4% | 19.3% |
| Public market | 53.6% | 27.6% | 18.8% |
Rayo Vallecano vs Lugo — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2120/21 | Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 | Lugo | 1.57/4.13/5.54 |
| 01/11/2020/21 | Lugo | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano | 3.54/3.06/2.21 |
| 15/01/2019/20 | Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 | Lugo | 1.43/4.37/7.53 |
| 03/11/1919/20 | Lugo | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano | 3.53/3.16/2.16 |
| 22/12/1717/18 | Lugo | 1–2 | Rayo Vallecano | 2.89/3.14/2.53 |
| 27/05/1817/18 | Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 | Lugo | 1.29/5.13/11.35 |
| 13/11/1616/17 | Lugo | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano | 2.40/3.23/3.05 |
| 22/04/1716/17 | Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 | Lugo | 1.79/3.39/4.85 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Rayo Vallecano
Away Record: Lugo
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026