Segunda División · Season 2017
Match Events
assist: Pere Milla
Match Statistics
Lineups
Defensive Solidity
Lugo deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Numancia's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Lugo field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Numancia's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Lugo start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Numancia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: Francisco
Substitutes
Coach: Arrasate
Match Summary
Numancia defeated Lugo 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2017. Goals were scored by Manu del Moral 34′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Lugo had 71% possession while Numancia held 29%. Lugo had 18 shots (6 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Numancia. Lugo made 3 substitutions, Numancia made 3.
Lugo vs Numancia Head to Head Results
7 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Lugo
Numancia
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Numancia dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Lugo.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.29 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.45 | 3.09 | 3.42 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 39.9% | 31.6% | 28.5% |
| Public market | 41.0% | 31.3% | 27.7% |
| Δ | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Lugo vs Numancia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2019/20 | Lugo | 3–1 | Numancia | 2.70/2.98/2.87 |
| 26/10/1919/20 | Numancia | 3–1 | Lugo | 1.95/3.20/4.26 |
| 02/02/1918/19 | Numancia | 3–0 | Lugo | 1.76/3.51/4.77 |
| 01/09/1818/19 | Lugo | 3–2 | Numancia | 2.51/2.90/3.21 |
| 12/11/1717/18 | Lugo | 0–1 | Numancia | 2.35/3.03/3.34 |
| 14/04/1817/18 | Numancia | 2–0 | Lugo | 1.76/3.46/4.97 |
| 11/12/1616/17 | Lugo | 3–1 | Numancia | 2.30/3.16/3.30 |
| 21/05/1716/17 | Numancia | 0–1 | Lugo | 2.02/3.17/4.05 |
| 03/01/1615/16 | Lugo | 2–3 | Numancia | 2.19/3.11/3.56 |
| 25/05/1615/16 | Numancia | 1–0 | Lugo | 2.05/3.41/3.64 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Lugo
Away Record: Numancia
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026