Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Atalanta dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
4
Average goals per game
83%
Games with 3+ goals
83%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (76%) — the odds may underestimate Atalanta.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
| Max | 1.27 | 6.64 | 12.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 76.5% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Public market | 75.5% | 14.5% | 9.9% |
| Δ | 0.9% | — | 1.0% |
Atalanta vs Spezia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Atalanta
Away Record: Spezia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Atalanta defeated Spezia 5:2. The match was played in Serie A 2021. Goals were scored by M'Bala Nzola 11′, M. Pašalić 18′, D. Zapata 38′ (pen.), M. Pašalić 41′, L. Muriel 83′, R. Malinovskyi 89′, M'Bala Nzola 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Atalanta had 51% possession while Spezia held 49%. Atalanta had 18 shots (9 on target) compared to 10 (5 on target) for Spezia. Atalanta made 5 substitutions, Spezia made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty awarded (Joakim Mæhle 35′).
Match Events
Key match events between Atalanta and Spezia — 7 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: D. Zappacosta
Penalty
assist: D. Zapata
assist: M. Pašalić
assist: L. Muriel
assist: S. Bastoni
Match Statistics
Atalanta had 51% possession against Spezia's 49%. Atalanta registered 18 shots (9 on target) while Spezia managed 10 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 0–6. Fouls committed: 10–11.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Spezia show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Atalanta
Spezia
Atalanta vs Spezia Head to Head Results
Atalanta and Spezia have met 6 times — Atalanta won 4, Spezia won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Atalanta leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (16 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (83%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (83%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Atalanta are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2023.
4
Atalanta
2
Drawn
0
Spezia
Recent Meetings (6)
API data: 15 Mar 2026