16 March 2026 at 19:45

14
Full Time
Referee: M. Di Bello

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cremonese0wins
0draws4 meetings
Fiorentina4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.6%Draw 27.8%Away 52.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.903.601.91
Max3.903.601.91
Over 2.5: 52.4%Under 2.5: 52.4%
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Fiorentina
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CremoneseHalf-time:02Fiorentina
13Shots13
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
16/03/26Cremonese1–4Fiorentina3.90/3.60/1.91
04/01/26Fiorentina1–0Cremonese1.79/3.56/4.88
12/03/23Cremonese0–2Fiorentina4.40/3.60/1.86
14/08/22Fiorentina3–2Cremonese1.37/4.98/8.66

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cremonese

W 36D 55L 81
Over 2.541
Goals scored175

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 312L 349
Over 2.551
Goals scored1612

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Fiorentina defeated Cremonese 4:1. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by F. Parisi 25′, R. Piccoli 32′, Dodo 49′, D. Okereke 57′, A. Gudmundsson 70′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Cremonese had 48% possession while Fiorentina held 52%. Cremonese had 13 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Cremonese 1.44 — Fiorentina 1.79. Cremonese made 5 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Cremonese and Fiorentina — 5 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.

Cremonese
Fiorentina
Kick Off
25′
F. Parisi

assist: R. Mandragora

32′
R. Piccoli

assist: R. Gosens

Half Time
W. BondoA. Grassi
46′
M. ThorsbyD. Okereke
46′
49′
Dodo

assist: A. Gudmundsson

D. Okereke

assist: F. Ceccherini

57′
Y. MalehJ. Vandeputte
62′
R. FlorianiA. Zerbin
69′
70′
A. Gudmundsson

assist: R. Piccoli

75′
R. MandragoraC. Ndour
76′
A. GudmundssonJ. Harrison
F. CeccheriniF. Terracciano
81′
81′
F. ParisiJ. Fazzini
81′
R. GosensD. Rugani
88′
L. RanieriG. Fabbian
Full Time

Match Statistics

Cremonese had 48% possession against Fiorentina's 52%. Cremonese registered 13 shots (3 on target) while Fiorentina managed 13 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 4–6. Fouls committed: 17–16.

3Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox4
17Fouls16
4Corner Kicks6
0Offsides2
48%Ball Possession52%
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
353Total passes399
283Passes accurate332
80%Passes %83%
1.44expected_goals1.79
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Fiorentina show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Cremonese

LDLLWL

Fiorentina

DWWLWD

Cremonese vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results

Cremonese and Fiorentina have met 5 times — Cremonese won 0, Fiorentina won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (20%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (20%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2022.

0

Cremonese

1

Drawn

4

Fiorentina

Goals: 2Goals: 8

Recent Meetings (5)

4 Jan 2026Fiorentina1 – 0Cremonese
27 Apr 2023Fiorentina0 – 0Cremonese
5 Apr 2023Cremonese0 – 2Fiorentina
12 Mar 2023Cremonese0 – 2Fiorentina
14 Aug 2022Fiorentina3 – 2Cremonese
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 20 Mar 2026