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Inter vs Cagliari

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2016

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan16 October 2016 at 14:00
Home

Inter

12
Referee: Paolo Valeri

Match Events

Inter
Cagliari
Kick Off
42′Marco Sau
Half Time
É. BanegaA. Gnoukouri
60′
60′
M. SauM. Borriello
61′Gianni Munari
69′
G. MunariM. Isla
71′
F. Melchiorri
A. CandrevaE. Martins
74′
77′
D. Di GennaroN. Barella
78′Panagiotis Tachtsidis
C. AnsaldiS. Jovetić
80′
85′
S. Handanovič

Own Goal

86′Nicolò Barella
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox10
8Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls12
10Corner Kicks6
3Offsides2
64%Ball Possession36%
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
535Total passes298
460Passes accurate206
86%Passes %69%

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Inter 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2016. Goals were scored by João Mário 55′, F. Melchiorri 71′, S. Handanovič 85′ (o.g.). 6 yellow cards were shown. Inter had 64% possession while Cagliari held 36%. Inter had 17 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (6 on target) for Cagliari. Inter made 3 substitutions, Cagliari made 3.

Rivalry since 2010

Inter vs Cagliari Head to Head Results

28 stretnutí
Inter
19
wins
Drawn
6
Cagliari
3
wins
Total goals
87 · 3.1/match
Both scored
17/28 · 61%
Over 2.5
18/28 · 64%

Recent Form

Inter

WDWWWW

Cagliari

DWLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Inter dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Inter9wins
1draws10 meetings
Cagliari0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (69%) — the odds may underestimate Inter.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 70.4%Draw 21.7%Away 11.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.404.338.50
Max1.444.759.61
Market favourite:Inter · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market69.1%20.7%10.2%
Public market68.5%20.2%11.3%
Δ0.6%0.5%1.1%

Inter vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Inter (70%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

InterHalf-time:00Cagliari
17Shots11
4Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/04/26Inter3–0Cagliari1.25/6.00/12.00
27/09/25Cagliari0–2Inter5.99/4.31/1.54
12/04/25Inter3–1Cagliari1.34/5.33/8.46
28/12/24Cagliari0–3Inter6.85/4.72/1.44
14/04/24Inter2–2Cagliari1.18/7.88/13.67
28/08/23Cagliari0–2Inter6.90/4.57/1.42
15/05/22Cagliari1–3Inter7.52/5.31/1.38
12/12/21Inter4–0Cagliari1.17/7.61/16.77
11/04/21Inter1–0Cagliari1.26/5.99/12.25
13/12/20Cagliari1–3Inter7.85/5.26/1.37

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Inter

W 664D 287L 256
Over 2.554
Goals scored2148

Away Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 429
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026